Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima as Sanfrecce Hiroshima face off against FC Tokyo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Tsukasa Shiotani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
- 15' The referee calls foul for Keigo Higashi. He receives a card.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Hayao Kawabe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' FC Tokyo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' Alexander Scholz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sota Nakamura is hanging Naoto Arai on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' Japan international Keita Yamashita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 61' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tokyo backline.
- 62' Leon Nozawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Marcos Guilherme and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' It’s a booking for FC Tokyo player. Masato Morishige gets a card.
- 69' Yuto Nagatomo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
- 70' Daiki Suga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mutsuki Kato on 70 minute.
- 75' Naoki Maeda is replacing Shuto Nakano for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 80' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kosuke Kinoshita is hanging Hayao Kawabe on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Taiyo Yamaguchi on, Keita Endo off on 85 minutes.
- 89' FC Tokyo make a change. Kein Sato trudges off to be replaced by Soma Anzai on 89 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Tolgay Arslan 46'
- 9
- 19
- 1
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 80'
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Naoki Maeda 75'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Daiki Suga 70'
- 37
Bench
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 70'
- 3
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 75'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 80'
- 25
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↑ 46'
- 32
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kei Koizumi 62'
-
22
Keita Endo ↓ Taiyo Yamaguchi 85'
- 8
- 24
-
40
Marcos Guilherme ↓ Leon Nozawa 62'
- 14
- 81
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Soma Anzai 89'
Bench
- 99
-
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↑ 89'
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↑ 62'
- 13
- 30
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↑ 89'
-
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 62'
-
88
Taiyo Yamaguchi ↑ 85'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-10-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
FC Tōkyō
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-09-27
Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-09-23
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-09-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
D
2025-08-31
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.97
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tōkyō
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

