FC Tōkyō vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| +13 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Fagiano Okayama FC gets underway.
- 5' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yugo Tatsuta suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' FC Tōkyō is showing some good football. However, FC Tōkyō are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Fagiano Okayama FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Haruka Motoyama made 444 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' It’s a booking for Fagiano Okayama FC player. Yugo Tatsuta gets a card.
- 40' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Takahiro Yanagi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 48' Goal! Kein Sato scores his 12 goal in 414 matches.
- 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Seung-Gyu Kim, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 59' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucao is hanging Kazunari Ichimi on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 68' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Keita Endo departs to be replaced by Soma Anzai.
- 71' The whistle greets Hijiri Kato as he departs to be replaced by Takahiro Yanagi.
- 72' GOAL! Ataru Esaka scores on 72. Assisted by Yuta Kamiya
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Marcos Guilherme is replaced by Kota Tawaratsumida.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoshitake Suzuki on 82.
- 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 88' GOAL! Kota Tawaratsumida scores on 88. Assisted by Kein Sato
- 89' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Werik.
- 90' Kein Sato with the second goal in the match!
- 90' Teppei Oka is replacing Yuto Nagatomo for the FC Tokyo side.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 40
- 81
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 13
- 30
- 14
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 28
- 88
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Werik 89'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 71'
- 41
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 71'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
Bench
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 71'
- 7
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 71'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 89'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
FC Tōkyō Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
80%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Tōkyō or Fagiano Okayama FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.