FC Tōkyō vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 46 |
| +13 | GD | -5 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 72% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Tokyo host Fagiano Okayama FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' FC Tokyo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fagiano Okayama FC backline.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Tokyo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Yugo Tatsuta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 35.
- 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tokyo and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kein Sato makes it 1-0.
- 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 438 games and scored 398 goals.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Lucao. He replaces Kazunari Ichimi on 59 minute.
- 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Goro Kawanami, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 68' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Soma Anzai comes on to replace Keita Endo.
- 71' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Hijiri Kato has done his job and it is now time for Takahiro Yanagi to step up.
- 72' Ataru Esaka makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Fagiano Okayama FC are in front.
- 77' Kota Tawaratsumida gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Marcos Guilherme and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Yoshitake Suzuki.
- 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 88' Against the run of play, Kota Tawaratsumida has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Werik is hanging Ataru Esaka on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' Brilliant from the ! Kein Sato makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 90.
- 90' Teppei Oka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuto Nagatomo on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Tokyo 3-1 Fagiano Okayama FC.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 40
- 81
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 13
- 30
- 14
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 28
- 88
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Werik 89'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 71'
- 41
- 26
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 71'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 59'
Bench
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 71'
- 7
- 28
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 71'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 89'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 59'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
FC Tōkyō Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.07
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
80%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
38%
FC Tōkyō or Fagiano Okayama FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 17% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 18% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.