FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
11 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–6 | L |
| 16 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #7 |
| 33 | Points | 34 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 4 / 13 |
| 55 | Scored | 48 |
| 64 | Conceded | 64 |
| -9 | GD | -16 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.26 |
| 31% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
19%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/3
16-30
8/8
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/6
61-75
7/4
76+
9/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 13 G | 1 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 8 G | 4 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Controversy at the stadium! Adrian Gomez argues furiously but the card stands.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martin Ojeda makes it 0-1.
- 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Griffin Dorsey suffering a number of foals already.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Gerardo Valenzuela is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Orlando City SC so far.
- 32' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 40.
- 42' A stunning finish from Kenji Mboma — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Tiago is withdrawn and Tyrese Spicer gets his opportunity.
- 47' Matt Miazga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 2-1.
- 52' Kenji Mboma has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
- 57' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Justin Ellis is withdrawn and Marco Pasalic gets his opportunity.
- 58' A stunning finish from Evander — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 63' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact .
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' The referee calls foul for David Brekalo. He receives a card.
- 72' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Griffin Dorsey is replaced by Wilder Cartagena.
- 74' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Obinna Nwobodo has done his job and it is now time for Tah Anunga to step up.
- 77' Goal! Kevin Denkey scores his 82 goal in 190 matches.
- 82' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tyrese Spicer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Orlando City SC.
- 83' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Kenji Mboma is replaced by Tom Barlow.
- 86' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Braian Ojeda has done his job and it is now time for Luis Otavio to step up.
- 90' Nick Hagglund gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Samuel Gidi and will look to change the dynamic.
- FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tah Anunga 74'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 90'
- 24
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 83'
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
-
27
Tah Anunga ↑ 74'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 90'
- 3
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 83'
- 88
- 55
Coach
Pat Noonan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Adrian Gomez ↓ Duncan McGuire 72'
- 10
- 20
- 6
- 24
- 71
-
8
Braian Ojeda ↓ Luis Otavio 86'
- 77
- 4
-
11
Tiago ↓ Tyrese Spicer 46'
-
22
Justin Ellis ↓ Marco Pasalic 57'
Bench
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 72'
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 57'
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 72'
- 12
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 46'
- 29
- 57
- 19
-
5
Luis Otavio ↑ 86'
Coach
Martin Perelman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Orlando City SC Form
2026-05-23
FC Cincinnati
6–2
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-13
Orlando City SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2026-05-09
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-02
Internacional CF Miami
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2026-04-25
D.C. United SC
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.32
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 88% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 3.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 4.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Orlando City SC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–2 not predicted6 – 2Actual
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.8%
1 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
5 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 17% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

