FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

FC Cincinnati

6 – 2

Full Time

Orlando City SC

Sat 23 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 16' Martin Ojeda pen

Kenji Mboma 42' 1–1

Evander 45+3' 2–1

2–2 48' Martin Ojeda

Kenji Mboma 52' 3–2

Evander 58' 4–2

Kevin Denkey 77' 5–2

Tom Barlow 90+1' 6–2

Y 10' Adrian Gomez

Gerardo Valenzuela 32' Y

Y 40' Tiago

Matt Miazga 47' Y

Y 70' David Brekalo

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Rubiel Vazquez

16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.9 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 2.6 goals Orlando City SC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC 2025-06-28 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC 2024-05-04 Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	Orlando City SC	H	6–2	W
17 May	San Diego FC	A	3–3	D
13 May	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–0	D
09 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–0	D
03 May	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–2	W
25 Apr	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 May	FC Cincinnati	A	2–6	L
16 May	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D
13 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
09 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–2	L
02 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–2	L
25 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	2–3	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Orlando City SC
#8	Position	#9
46	Points	46
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	13 / 7 / 14
67	Scored	63
75	Conceded	78
-8	GD	-15
1.35	PPG	1.35
35%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

18% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Orlando City SC

0-15

5/5

16-30

10/10

31-45

5/8

46-60

10/10

61-75

7/5

76+

13/15

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	16 G	4 A
Antoine Griezmann	14 G	6 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC has kicked off!
5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
10' The referee has no hesitation. Adrian Gomez is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 10.
15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kyle Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
16' Martin Ojeda puts Orlando City SC on the lead.
21' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
26' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact .
31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
32' Poor challenge from Gerardo Valenzuela. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
37' Orlando City SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
40' Tiago catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
42' Magnificent from Kenji Mboma! That is 5 goals in 263 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
46' Tyrese Spicer gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Tiago and will look to change the dynamic.
47' Matt Miazga is having his name booked by the referee on 47.
48' Evander adds to his 11 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
52' Kenji Mboma makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
57' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Justin Ellis is replaced by Marco Pasalic.
58' Brilliant from the ! Evander makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 58.
63' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. Orlando City SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
68' Matt Miazga has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 437 appearances.
70' David Brekalo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
72' Wilder Cartagena has so much to prove this time. He replaces Griffin Dorsey on 72 minute.
74' Tah Anunga is replacing Obinna Nwobodo for the FC Cincinnati side.
77' Kevin Denkey does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
82' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
83' FC Cincinnati make a change. Kenji Mboma trudges off to be replaced by Tom Barlow on 83 minutes.
86' Luis Otavio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Braian Ojeda at the 86 minute mark.
90' The crowd applauds Samuel Gidi as he leaves the pitch. Nick Hagglund steps in for FC Cincinnati.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander
21
Matt Miazga
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tah Anunga 74'
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 90'
24
Kyle Smith
18
Roman Celentano
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Ender Echenique 83'
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 83'
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Nick Hagglund 90'
29
Bryan Ramirez

Bench

13
Evan Louro
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 90'
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
27
Tah Anunga ↑ 74'
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 90'
3
Gilberto Flores
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 83'
88
Andrei Chirila
55
Ayoub Lajhar

Coach Pat Noonan

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Adrian Gomez ↓ Duncan McGuire 72'
10
Martin Ojeda
20
Eduard Atuesta
6
Robin Jansson
24
Griffin Dorsey ↓ Wilder Cartagena 72'
71
Maxime Crepeau
8
Braian Ojeda ↓ Luis Otavio 86'
77
Ivan Angulo
4
David Brekalo
11
Tiago ↓ Tyrese Spicer 46'
22
Justin Ellis ↓ Marco Pasalic 57'

Bench

16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 72'
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 57'
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 72'
12
Javier Otero
14
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 46'
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
57
Iago
19
Zakaria Taifi
5
Luis Otavio ↑ 86'

Coach Martin Perelman

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	4
Nani	4
Tesho Akindele	3
Junior Urso	3
Kevin Denkey	2
Kenji Mboma	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Brenner da Silva	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-17 San Diego FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2026-05-13 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Internacional CF Miami D 2026-05-09 Charlotte FC 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2026-05-03 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2026-04-25 FC Cincinnati 2–0 New York Red Bulls W

Orlando City SC Form

2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC L 2026-05-16 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2026-05-13 Orlando City SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2026-05-09 Montreal Impact FC 2–0 Orlando City SC L 2026-05-02 Internacional CF Miami 2–0 Orlando City SC L 2026-04-25 D.C. United SC 3–2 Orlando City SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.13 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.81 Orlando City SC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati63% Draw18% Orlando City SC19%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	86%	14%
± 3.5	71%	29%
± 4.5	53%	47%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

80%

Draw or Orlando City SC

37%

FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati49% Draw32% Orlando City SC19%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted

6 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 1

6.4%

3 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

4 – 1

1 – 1

4.7%

4 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 0

3.8%

3 – 3

3.5%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Orlando City SC covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	17%	55%
-1.5	45%	—	55%
-1	45%	18%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	10%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.