Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 23 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Martin Ojeda pen
Kenji Mboma 42' 1–1
Evander 45+3' 2–1
2–2 48' Martin Ojeda
Kenji Mboma 52' 3–2
Evander 58' 4–2
Kevin Denkey 77' 5–2
Tom Barlow 90+1' 6–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SCMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Rubiel Vazquez
11 games this season 🟨 2.4/game 8.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
17 May San Diego FC A 3–3 D
13 May Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
09 May Charlotte FC A 0–0 D
03 May Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May FC Cincinnati A 2–6 L
16 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
13 May Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
09 May Montreal Impact FC A 0–2 L
02 May Internacional CF Miami A 0–2 L
25 Apr D.C. United SC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Orlando City SC
#6 Position #11
26 Points 20
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 10
45 Scored 30
44 Conceded 47
+1 GD -17
1.44 PPG 1.11
39% Win % 33%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G
Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 11 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds TQL Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Cincinnati and Orlando City SC.
  • 5' Slovakia international Samuel Gidi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Adrian Gomez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 10.
  • 15' Orlando City SC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 16' The Argentina Martin Ojeda breaks the deadlock on 16 minutes. 0-1!
  • 21' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 26' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gerardo Valenzuela on 32 minutes.
  • 37' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Orlando City SC backline.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tiago.
  • 42' GOAL! Kenji Mboma scores on 42. Assisted by Thiago Galhardo
  • 46' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Tyrese Spicer comes on to replace Tiago.
  • 47' Matt Miazga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
  • 48' Magnificent from Evander! That is 56 goals in 289 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' Kenji Mboma adds to his 4 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 57' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Justin Ellis has done his job and it is now time for Marco Pasalic to step up.
  • 58' Brilliant from the ! Evander makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Obinna Nwobodo made 46 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' It’s high time Martin Perelman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. David Brekalo is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 70.
  • 72' Another substitution for Orlando City SC to replace Griffin Dorsey by Wilder Cartagena on 72 minute.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Tah Anunga. He replaces Obinna Nwobodo on 74 minute.
  • 77' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 5-1.
  • 82' Orlando City SC have won 430 goals from 285 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 83' Tom Barlow is replacing Kenji Mboma for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 86' Luis Otavio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Braian Ojeda on 86 minute.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Samuel Gidi as he leaves the pitch. Nick Hagglund steps in for FC Cincinnati.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.87 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati69% Draw15% Orlando City SC16%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 5.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
85%
Draw or Orlando City SC
31%
FC Cincinnati or Orlando City SC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati57% Draw27% Orlando City SC16%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
4 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
5 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
5 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 38% 62%
-2 38% 18% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 16% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 8% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 4% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.