Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC WWK Arena 28,660 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Shuto Machino pen
Steve Mounie 90' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs Holstein KielBundesliga at WWK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
26 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
20 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
12 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
29 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at WWK Arena!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Augsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Shuto Machino makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chrislain Matsima, as he is very good at scoring at WWK Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jess Thorup will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Shuto Machino exits the field as Phil Harres enters on 39.
  • 40' A stunning finish from Alexander Bernhardsson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Frank Onyeka made 225 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' FC Augsburg currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' Alexander Bernhardsson does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
  • 53' Phillip Tietz gets the nod from FC Augsburg. He replaces Cedric Zesiger and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 54' The FC Augsburg manager makes a substitution. Marius Wolf departs to be replaced by Henri Koudossou.
  • 56' Magnus Knudsen gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Cedric Zesiger has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 63' Time for substitution for FC Augsburg. Mert Komur is replaced by Arne Maier.
  • 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 73' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 74' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Steven Skrzybski has done his job and it is now time for Jann-Fiete Arp to step up.
  • 79' Frank Onyeka makes way for Elvis Rexhbecaj at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Augsburg.
  • 84' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 85' Jann-Fiete Arp was booked on 85.
  • 90' Steve Mounie makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and FC Augsburg are in front.
  • 90' Nicolai Remberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • With this win, Holstein Kiel is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
FC Augsburg or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg19% Draw45% Holstein Kiel36%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
19%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.