Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC — League One at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Scott Tallis (England)
- Assistant 1 Simon Shaw
- Assistant 2 Mark Derrien
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Feb | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Barnsley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Exeter City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jan | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Exeter City FC and Derby County FC get this one started.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Exeter City FC have won 203 goals from 198 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 24' Max Bird has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
- 26' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 36' The 34-year-old Tom Carroll has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' Exeter City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 43' The referee has no hesitation. Ebou Adams is booked for Derby County FC — card on 43.
- 46' Derby County FC ring the changes. Corey Blackett-Taylor has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Barkhuizen to step up.
- 49' The referee shows Exeter City FC player a card on 49.
- 52' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' A tactical swap from Exeter City FC — Sonny Cox on, Reece Cole off on 61 minutes.
- 62' Against the run of play, Thomas Barkhuizen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 62' A change in the Exeter City FC ranks — Will Aimson exits the field as Pierce Sweeney enters on 62.
- 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
- 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eiran Cashin.
- 72' Tom Carroll is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
- 73' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is withdrawn and Korey Smith gets his opportunity.
- 76' Ryan Woods gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Tom Carroll and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' The crowd applauds Ebou Adams as he leaves the pitch. Louie Sibley steps in for Derby County FC.
- 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 85' The crowd applauds Luke Harris as he leaves the pitch. Yanic Wildschut steps in for Exeter City FC.
- 89' Joe Ward has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eiran Cashin on 89 minute.
- Exeter City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
6
Tom Carroll ↓ Ryan Woods 76'
-
4
Will Aimson ↓ Pierce Sweeney 62'
- 3
-
12
Reece Cole ↓ Sonny Cox 61'
-
14
Ilmari Niskanen ↓ Dion Rankine 61'
- 29
- 39
- 1
-
20
Luke Harris ↓ Yanic Wildschut 85'
- 31
Bench
-
8
Ryan Woods ↑ 76'
-
13
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 85'
-
26
Pierce Sweeney ↑ 62'
- 5
- 30
-
21
Dion Rankine ↑ 61'
-
19
Sonny Cox ↑ 61'
Coach
Gary Caldwell
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 11
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Sonny Bradley 73'
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 9
-
32
Ebou Adams ↓ Louie Sibley 77'
- 20
-
6
Eiran Cashin ↓ Joe Ward 89'
- 1
Bench
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 73'
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 89'
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 73'
- 13
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 77'
- 16
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 46'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David McGoldrick | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 2 |
| Jack Sparkes | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.