Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC — League One at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Scott Tallis (England)
- Assistant 1 Simon Shaw
- Assistant 2 Mark Derrien
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Feb | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Barnsley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Exeter City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jan | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Exeter City FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 24' What composure from Max Bird! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 26' The referee calls foul for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He receives a card.
- 31' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Exeter City FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 41' Exeter City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ebou Adams on 43.
- 46' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Barkhuizen is hanging Corey Blackett-Taylor on the field on 46 minute.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Aitchison on 49.
- 52' A goal from the Guatemala international Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! He fires home on 52 to make it 0-2!
- 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' The whistle greets Reece Cole as he departs to be replaced by Sonny Cox.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Thomas Barkhuizen makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 62.
- 62' Exeter City FC ring the changes. Will Aimson has done his job and it is now time for Pierce Sweeney to step up.
- 67' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 68' Eiran Cashin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' Tom Carroll picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by Korey Smith on 73 minute.
- 76' Ryan Woods gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Tom Carroll and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Louie Sibley is hanging Ebou Adams on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' Yanic Wildschut is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luke Harris at the 85 minute mark.
- 89' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Eiran Cashin is withdrawn and Joe Ward gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
6
Tom Carroll ↓ Ryan Woods 76'
-
4
Will Aimson ↓ Pierce Sweeney 62'
- 3
-
12
Reece Cole ↓ Sonny Cox 61'
-
14
Ilmari Niskanen ↓ Dion Rankine 61'
- 29
- 39
- 1
-
20
Luke Harris ↓ Yanic Wildschut 85'
- 31
Bench
-
8
Ryan Woods ↑ 76'
-
13
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 85'
-
26
Pierce Sweeney ↑ 62'
- 5
- 30
-
21
Dion Rankine ↑ 61'
-
19
Sonny Cox ↑ 61'
Coach
Gary Caldwell
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 11
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Sonny Bradley 73'
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 9
-
32
Ebou Adams ↓ Louie Sibley 77'
- 20
-
6
Eiran Cashin ↓ Joe Ward 89'
- 1
Bench
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 73'
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 89'
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 73'
- 13
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 77'
- 16
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 46'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David McGoldrick | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 2 |
| Jack Sparkes | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.