Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 13 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC St. James Park 7,754 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Max Bird
0–3 62' Thomas Barkhuizen

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Tallis (England)
  • Assistant 1 Simon Shaw
  • Assistant 2 Mark Derrien

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Derby County FC H 0–3 L
10 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 2–1 W
06 Feb Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
03 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
27 Jan Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
23 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Exeter City FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Louie Sibley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Exeter City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' What a strike from Max Bird! The score is 0-1.
  • 26' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing was booked on 26.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thomas Barkhuizen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' Exeter City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' It’s gonna be a card for Ebou Adams.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Barkhuizen. He replaces Corey Blackett-Taylor on 46 minute.
  • 49' It’s gonna be a card for Jack Aitchison.
  • 52' What a strike from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! The score is 0-2.
  • 57' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Reece Cole has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sonny Cox is hanging Reece Cole on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' Goal! Thomas Barkhuizen scores his 7 goal in 385 matches.
  • 62' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pierce Sweeney is hanging Will Aimson on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Eiran Cashin. He receives a card.
  • 72' It’s a booking for Exeter City FC player. Tom Carroll gets a card.
  • 73' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Korey Smith.
  • 76' Another change for Exeter City FC made on 76 minute. Tom Carroll leaves to be changed by Ryan Woods.
  • 77' Another change for Derby County FC made on 77 minute. Ebou Adams leaves to be changed by Louie Sibley.
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Exeter City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' Yanic Wildschut is replacing Luke Harris for the Exeter City FC side.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Eiran Cashin is replaced by Joe Ward.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC25% Draw30% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC16% Draw51% Derby County FC33%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 24% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.