Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 24 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
21 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
07 Oct Barnsley FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 1–4 L
30 Sep Northampton Town FC H 0–2 L
23 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Exeter City FC.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Exeter City FC's compact .
  • 15' Exeter City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Nelson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 30' A goal from the Guatemala international Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! He fires home on 30 to make it 1-0!
  • 34' Poor challenge from Conor Hourihane. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' Kane Wilson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' Exeter City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' Louie Sibley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
  • 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Caleb Watts is hanging Zak Jules on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Caleb Watts on 62.
  • 65' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kane Wilson by Thomas Barkhuizen on 65 minute.
  • 70' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Collins is hanging Louie Sibley on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Will Aimson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Conor Washington makes it 2-0.
  • 82' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Korey Smith is hanging Conor Hourihane on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Zak Jules is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC61% Draw25% Exeter City FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Exeter City FC
39%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw50% Exeter City FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.