Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 24 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
21 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
07 Oct Barnsley FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 1–4 L
30 Sep Northampton Town FC H 0–2 L
23 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Exeter City FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Exeter City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 30.
  • 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Conor Hourihane.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Craig Forsyth made 385 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 49' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' Max Bird has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Louie Sibley.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' It is a substitution in Exeter City FC team. Zak Jules is replaced by Caleb Watts on 61 minute.
  • 62' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' Another change for Derby County FC made on 65 minute. Kane Wilson leaves to be changed by Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 70' Exeter City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
  • 71' The whistle greets Louie Sibley as he departs to be replaced by James Collins.
  • 76' The travelling Exeter City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 79' Goal! Conor Washington scores his 33 goal in 366 matches.
  • 82' Another change for Derby County FC made on 82 minute. Conor Hourihane leaves to be changed by Korey Smith.
  • 87' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Exeter City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC61% Draw25% Exeter City FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Exeter City FC
39%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw50% Exeter City FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.