Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 24 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Blackpool FC A 3–1 W
30 Sep Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
23 Sep Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
21 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
07 Oct Barnsley FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 1–4 L
30 Sep Northampton Town FC H 0–2 L
23 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Exeter City FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' The travelling Exeter City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Conor Hourihane on 34 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 39' Ryan Trevitt needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 49' Max Bird has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Exeter City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' A moment of madness from Louie Sibley on 55 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Zak Jules by Caleb Watts on 61 minute.
  • 62' Caleb Watts is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 65' Thomas Barkhuizen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kane Wilson at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for James Collins. He replaces Louie Sibley on 71 minute.
  • 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 79' The Northern Ireland Conor Washington breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 2-0!
  • 82' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Conor Hourihane is replaced by Korey Smith on 82 minute.
  • 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Exeter City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • Exeter City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC61% Draw25% Exeter City FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Exeter City FC
39%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw50% Exeter City FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 26% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.