Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 8,085 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Brandon Aguilera

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Bristol Rovers FCLeague One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Christopher Wade
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
27 Jan Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
23 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W
20 Jan Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
13 Jan Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Exeter City FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
23 Jan Exeter City FC H 0–1 L
20 Jan Blackpool FC H 1–2 L
17 Jan Norwich City FC H 1–3 L
13 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Exeter City FC and Bristol Rovers FC get this one started.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Brilliant from the ! Brandon Aguilera makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 15.
  • 17' The referee does not hesitate — a card for James Wilson on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 27' Bristol Rovers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' Pierce Sweeney needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 37' The travelling Bristol Rovers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' Exeter City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cheick Diabate.
  • 50' Luke Thomas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Caldwell might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 60' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 64' That is a card for Bristol Rovers FC. Jack Hunt will be fuming at that decision.
  • 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' Mohamed Eisa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sonny Cox at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Exeter City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 79' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Dion Rankine by Yanic Wildschut on 79 minute.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Tristan Crama is booked for Bristol Rovers FC — card on 80.
  • 85' Sonny Cox is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Bristol Rovers FC team. Kamil Conteh is replaced by Elkan Baggott on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Bristol Rovers FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Bristol Rovers FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC40% Draw30% Bristol Rovers FC30%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
60%
Exeter City FC or Bristol Rovers FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC25% Draw51% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.