Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 8,085 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Brandon Aguilera

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Christopher Wade
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
27 Jan Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
23 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W
20 Jan Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
13 Jan Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Exeter City FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
23 Jan Exeter City FC H 0–1 L
20 Jan Blackpool FC H 1–2 L
17 Jan Norwich City FC H 1–3 L
13 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Exeter City FC get us underway at St. James Park.
  • 5' Kamil Conteh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' What a moment for Brandon Aguilera! That strike on 15 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 17' The referee has no hesitation. James Wilson is booked for Bristol Rovers FC — card on 17.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 27' Ilmari Niskanen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 53 appearances.
  • 32' The 25-year-old Lewis Gordon has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 42' Exeter City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol Rovers FC backline.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' That is a card for Bristol Rovers FC. Jack Hunt will be fuming at that decision.
  • 69' Exeter City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 72' Mohamed Eisa gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Sonny Cox and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Matt Taylor will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 79' Yanic Wildschut is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dion Rankine at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' The referee shows Bristol Rovers FC player a card on 80.
  • 85' Zak Jules has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' Bristol Rovers FC ring the changes. Kamil Conteh has done his job and it is now time for Elkan Baggott to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Bristol Rovers FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC40% Draw30% Bristol Rovers FC30%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
60%
Exeter City FC or Bristol Rovers FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC25% Draw51% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.