Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Derby County FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 2–1 W
15 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–4 L
11 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 2–4 L
08 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–0 W
01 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Exeter City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Exeter City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Korey Smith.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Exeter City FC's compact .
  • 32' The travelling Exeter City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace James Chester by David McGoldrick on 36 minute.
  • 37' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Louie Sibley.
  • 38' Exeter City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Lewis Dobbin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Louie Sibley on 46 minute.
  • 51' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 66' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Exeter City FC — Matt Jay on, Jevani Brown off on 69 minutes.
  • 70' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jake Caprice on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Jack Sparkes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Matt Jay. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Sam Nombe as he leaves the pitch. Harry Kite steps in for Exeter City FC.
  • 85' Exeter City FC is showing some good football. However, Exeter City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Exeter City FC — Harry Lee on, Jamal Blackman off on 88 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Derby County FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw33% Exeter City FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Exeter City FC
61%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw58% Exeter City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 22% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.