Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Derby County FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 2–1 W
15 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–4 L
11 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 2–4 L
08 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–0 W
01 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Exeter City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
  • 17' Korey Smith has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 17.
  • 22' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
  • 27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 32' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Exeter City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 36' Another change for Derby County FC made on 36 minute. James Chester leaves to be changed by David McGoldrick.
  • 37' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Louie Sibley.
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Archie Collins argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 43' Exeter City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Dobbin is hanging Louie Sibley on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Exeter City FC's compact .
  • 61' The 28-year-old Sam Nombe has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' Matt Jay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jevani Brown on 69 minute.
  • 70' Controversy at the stadium! Jake Caprice argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 75' Conor Hourihane has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' Matt Jay picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Exeter City FC! Harry Kite comes on to replace Sam Nombe.
  • 85' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Jamal Blackman as he leaves the pitch. Harry Lee steps in for Exeter City FC.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Derby County FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw33% Exeter City FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Exeter City FC
61%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw58% Exeter City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 22% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.