Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Derby County FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 2–1 W
15 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–4 L
11 Oct Charlton Athletic FC A 2–4 L
08 Oct Barnsley FC A 2–0 W
01 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Exeter City FC.
  • 5' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Eiran Cashin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Jevani Brown needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Joseph Wildsmith is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 17' Korey Smith picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 22' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Exeter City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 32' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Exeter City FC's shape.
  • 36' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. James Chester departs to be replaced by David McGoldrick.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Louie Sibley. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 38' Archie Collins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 38.
  • 43' Korey Smith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
  • 46' Lewis Dobbin is replacing Louie Sibley for the Derby County FC side.
  • 51' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Exeter City FC's compact .
  • 66' Exeter City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Matt Jay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jevani Brown on 69 minute.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Jake Caprice. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 77' It’s a booking for Exeter City FC player. Matt Jay gets a Yellow card.
  • 80' Another change for Exeter City FC made on 80 minute. Sam Nombe leaves to be changed by Harry Kite.
  • 85' It looks like no one’s ball. Exeter City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 88' Exeter City FC make a change. Jamal Blackman trudges off to be replaced by Harry Lee on 88 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Derby County FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw33% Exeter City FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Exeter City FC
61%
Derby County FC or Exeter City FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw58% Exeter City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.3%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.3%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 22% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.