Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Derby County FC — League One at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Scott Tallis (England)
- Assistant 1 Simon Shaw
- Assistant 2 Mark Derrien
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Feb | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jan | Barnsley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb | Exeter City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jan | Lincoln City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Exeter City FC and Derby County FC get this one started.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 24' Max Bird is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 26' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets a card.
- 31' Ebou Adams is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
- 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zak Jules suffering a number of foals already.
- 41' Viljami Sinisalo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 43' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Corey Blackett-Taylor is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
- 49' Poor challenge from Jack Aitchison. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' A stunning finish from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 57' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 61' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Reece Cole by Sonny Cox on 61 minute.
- 62' A stunning finish from Thomas Barkhuizen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 62' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Will Aimson departs to be replaced by Pierce Sweeney.
- 67' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 68' It’s gonna be a card for Eiran Cashin.
- 72' That looks like a foul for a card for Tom Carroll.
- 73' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing exits the field as Korey Smith enters on 73.
- 76' Ryan Woods has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Carroll on 76 minute.
- 77' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Ebou Adams by Louie Sibley on 77 minute.
- 82' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 85' The Exeter City FC bench stirs into life. Luke Harris is withdrawn and Yanic Wildschut gets his opportunity.
- 89' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Eiran Cashin exits the field as Joe Ward enters on 89.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
6
Tom Carroll ↓ Ryan Woods 76'
-
4
Will Aimson ↓ Pierce Sweeney 62'
- 3
-
12
Reece Cole ↓ Sonny Cox 61'
-
14
Ilmari Niskanen ↓ Dion Rankine 61'
- 29
- 39
- 1
-
20
Luke Harris ↓ Yanic Wildschut 85'
- 31
Bench
-
8
Ryan Woods ↑ 76'
-
13
Yanic Wildschut ↑ 85'
-
26
Pierce Sweeney ↑ 62'
- 5
- 30
-
21
Dion Rankine ↑ 61'
-
19
Sonny Cox ↑ 61'
Coach
Gary Caldwell
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 11
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Sonny Bradley 73'
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 9
-
32
Ebou Adams ↓ Louie Sibley 77'
- 20
-
6
Eiran Cashin ↓ Joe Ward 89'
- 1
Bench
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 73'
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 89'
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 73'
- 13
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 77'
- 16
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 46'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 2 |
| David McGoldrick | 2 |
| Jack Sparkes | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Exeter City FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.