São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | Club Nacional de Football | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | AC Goianiense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | São Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Cuiabá EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jul | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 44 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 39 | Scored | 35 |
| 39 | Conceded | 51 |
| +0 | GD | -16 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sao Paulo FC and EC Vitoria is underway.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 6' William da Silva adds to his 3 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 11' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thiago Carpini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 21' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 26' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Carlos Eduardo comes on to replace Matheuzinho.
- 30' Erick doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 35' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Vitoria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Carlos Eduardo on, Ricardo Ryller off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 55 minute. Caio Vinicius leaves to be changed by Leo Naldi.
- 60' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 62' Alerrandro does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
- 67' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Vitoria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 69' Andre Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonathan Calleri at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Janderson Costa made 358 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Giuliano Galoppo gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Luiz Gustavo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' Janderson Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Machado at the 82 minute mark.
- 86' A moment of madness from Willian Oliveira on 86 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Jose Hugo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Welington on, William da Silva off on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 33
- 93
- 5
- 7
- 16
- 9
- 20
- 35
- 32
- 15
- 39
Bench
- 13
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 6
- 27
- 23
- 18
- 50
- 21
- 37
- 34
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9
-
15
Caio Vinicius ↓ Leo Naldi 55'
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↓ Carlos Eduardo 46'
- 16
- 11
-
36
Machado ↓ Janderson Costa 82'
- 29
- 1
- 4
-
30
Matheuzinho ↓ Carlos Eduardo 26'
- 97
Bench
- 37
- 10
- 27
-
43
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 46'
- 25
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 26'
- 22
-
17
Jose Hugo ↑ 55'
- 14
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 82'
-
5
Leo Naldi ↑ 55'
- 33
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Bruno Alves | 1 |
| Jose Sabino | 1 |
| Willian Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.73
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
86%
Draw or EC Vitoria
38%
São Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.4%
2 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 26% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

