EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | São Paulo FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Barcelona SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 38 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 35 | Scored | 39 |
| 51 | Conceded | 39 |
| -16 | GD | +0 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 29% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. EC Vitória kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Giuliano Galoppo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wagner Leonardo.
- 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Igor Vinicius, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 13' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Lepu exits the field as Reynaldo enters on 13.
- 14' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 14.
- 19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 24' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bruno Uvini.
- 30' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 31' Giuliano Galoppo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Damian Bobadilla at the 31 minute mark.
- 36' Poor challenge from Giuliano Galoppo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diego Costa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitória.
- 45' Luciano doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Osvaldo by Mateus Goncalves on 46 minute.
- 49' Willian Oliveira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 53' Brilliant from the ! Luciano makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 53.
- 58' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitória must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 60' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
- 65' EC Vitória started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
- 67' Igor Vinicius makes way for Erick at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 68' The whistle greets Rodrigo Nestor as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Huendra.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Luiz Adriano. He replaces Janderson Costa on 70 minute.
- 75' A quiet spell here at Barradao. EC Vitória seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Michel Araujo.
- 84' Nahuel Ferraresi does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
- 86' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano is replaced by Andre Silva.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dudu on 87.
- It finishes all square. EC Vitória and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 1-3.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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Bench
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Coach
Leo Condé
São Paulo FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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Luciano ↓ Andre Silva 86'
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Igor Vinicius ↓ Erick 67'
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Alan Franco ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 67'
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Bench
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Erick ↑ 67'
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Giuliano Galoppo ↑ 31'
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Andre Silva ↑ 86'
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Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 67'
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Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 68'
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Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Caca | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Ramon | 1 |
| Leandro Martinez | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.84
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
44%
Draw or São Paulo FC
81%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 2
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
2.9%
2 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 24% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

