EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | São Paulo FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Barcelona SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | AC Goianiense | A | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 28 | Scored | 32 |
| 42 | Conceded | 30 |
| -14 | GD | +2 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Vitoria is hosting Sao Paulo FC for another epic battle.
- 5' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Caca scoring 1 goals.
- 7' The referee has no hesitation. Wagner Leonardo is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 7.
- 12' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 13' The supporters are chanting for Reynaldo. He replaces Lepu on 13 minute.
- 14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Damian Bobadilla on 14.
- 19' EC Vitoria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Giuliano Galoppo made 167 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bruno Uvini on 25.
- 30' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 31' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Damian Bobadilla has done his job and it is now time for Giuliano Galoppo to step up.
- 36' The referee calls foul for Giuliano Galoppo. He receives a card.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' Luciano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 46' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Osvaldo by Mateus Goncalves on 46 minute.
- 49' A goal from the Brazil international Willian Oliveira! He fires home on 49 to make it 1-1!
- 53' Sao Paulo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luciano on 53.
- 58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Robert Arboleda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 60' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 60.
- 65' Jonathan Calleri needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 67' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Erick comes on to replace Igor Vinicius.
- 68' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Rodrigo Huendra on, Rodrigo Nestor off on 68 minutes.
- 70' Luiz Adriano gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Janderson Costa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Brazil international Rodrigo Nestor has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 80' Andre Silva has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Michel Araujo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nahuel Ferraresi makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 86' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Luciano is replaced by Andre Silva on 86 minute.
- 87' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 87.
- The final score is 1-3.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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Bench
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Coach
Leo Condé
São Paulo FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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Luciano ↓ Andre Silva 86'
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Igor Vinicius ↓ Erick 67'
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Alan Franco ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 67'
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Bench
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Erick ↑ 67'
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Giuliano Galoppo ↑ 31'
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Andre Silva ↑ 86'
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Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 67'
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Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 68'
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Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 1 |
| Bruno Alves | 1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Willian Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.81
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
43%
Draw or São Paulo FC
82%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 2
11.6%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

