Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Castelao 34,680 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero pen 21' 1–0
Yago Pikachu 45+3' 2–0
2–1 74' Ewerthon

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun EC Juventude H 2–1 W
27 Jun SE Palmeiras H 3–0 W
23 Jun CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
19 Jun Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
16 Jun Cuiaba EC A 0–5 L
14 Jun EC Bahia A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Fortaleza EC A 1–2 L
26 Jun CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
23 Jun SE Palmeiras A 1–3 L
19 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
15 Jun RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
11 Jun EC Vitoria H 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Fortaleza EC have kicked off against EC Juventude. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Gabriel Taliari has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' EC Juventude is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' The 36-year-old Lucas Sasha has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 21' Juan Lucero has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
  • 26' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and EC Juventude are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Juventude backline.
  • 46' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Ewerthon comes on to replace Erick.
  • 47' Gilberto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Taliari at the 47 minute mark.
  • 48' Yago Pikachu doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yago Pikachu on 55.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Pochettino suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' Nene gets the nod from EC Juventude. He replaces Jean Carlos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Bruno Pacheco comes on to replace Tomas Pochettino.
  • 74' What a moment for Ewerthon! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' Time for substitution for EC Juventude. Lucas Barbosa is replaced by Ruan Pereira.
  • 81' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Breno Lopes has done his job and it is now time for Renato Kayzer to step up.
  • 86' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Juventude's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Yago Pikachu as he leaves the pitch. Dudu steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • EC Juventude will have plenty to reflect on. Fortaleza EC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.59 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC54% Draw26% EC Juventude20%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or EC Juventude
46%
Fortaleza EC or EC Juventude
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC36% Draw48% EC Juventude16%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
41%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.