Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Paranaense vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 8 Nov 2023 · 23:00 UTC Arena da Baixada HT 45' · FT 45'
Erick 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
05 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
01 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
29 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
25 Oct America FC H 3–2 W
22 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
05 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
02 Nov CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
21 Oct EC Bahia A 0–2 L
19 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
08 Oct America FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CA Paranaense gets underway.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Wesley Carvalho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Paranaense and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Erick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Willian is replacing Romulo Cruz for the CA Paranaense side.
  • 39' Juan Lucero has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' Vinicius Kaue, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 49' Matheus Piaui has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 54' Guilherme Augusto is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 57' Goal! Willian scores his 40 goal in 393 matches.
  • 59' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Christian comes on to replace Alex Santana.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 69' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Pedro Augusto is withdrawn and Caio Alexandre gets his opportunity.
  • 70' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Crispim departs to be replaced by Calebe.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 77' Yago Pikachu is replacing Marinho for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 79' Hugo Moura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus Piaui at the 79 minute mark.
  • 83' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Juan Lucero by Thiago Galhardo on 83 minute.
  • 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Erick was booked on 90.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: CA Paranaense or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense40% Draw30% Fortaleza EC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
70%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
60%
CA Paranaense or Fortaleza EC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense27% Draw51% Fortaleza EC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.