SE Palmeiras vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Arena Barueri.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
| 28 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | América FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 73 | Points | 54 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 15 / 9 / 10 |
| 62 | Scored | 51 |
| 23 | Conceded | 43 |
| +39 | GD | +8 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 62% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
32%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Barueri will turn into a battlefield for SE Palmeiras and CA Paranaense.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Paranaense is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 6' A goal from the Brazil international Endrick! He fires home on 6 to make it 1-0!
- 11' Mayke has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 14' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Luan Garcia.
- 15' The referee shows CA Paranaense player a Yellow card on 15.
- 20' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Luciano Arriagada on, Pablo Felipe off on 20 minutes.
- 25' Thiago Heleno, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Thiago Heleno.
- 38' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Thiago Heleno.
- 43' It’s high time Wesley Carvalho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Alex Santana is replacing Erick for the CA Paranaense side.
- 51' The referee calls foul for Caca. He receives a Yellow card.
- 56' A quiet spell here at Arena Barueri. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 57' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 57 minute. Kaique Rocha leaves to be changed by Romulo Cruz.
- 58' Christian has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Zapelli on 58 minute.
- 61' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Richard Rios has done his job and it is now time for Fabinho to step up.
- 66' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Esquivel, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Barueri with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 72' Kevin Santos gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Breno Lopes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' The 25-year-old Christian has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
- 78' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ze Rafael.
- 79' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Vitor Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Willian to step up.
- 84' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gustavo Gomez scoring 1 goals.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Jailson. He replaces Kaiky Marques on 85 minute.
- 86' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Raphael Veiga is replaced by Jhonatan.
- 90' CA Paranaense receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and CA Paranaense share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Jhonatan 85'
- 21
- 12
- 2
-
19
Breno Lopes ↓ Kevin Santos 72'
- 13
- 22
-
34
Kaiky Marques ↓ Jailson 85'
-
9
Endrick ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 72'
-
27
Richard Rios ↓ Fabinho 61'
Bench
-
30
Jailson ↑ 85'
- 14
- 20
- 42
- 24
- 6
- 32
-
18
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 72'
-
40
Jhonatan ↑ 85'
-
35
Fabinho ↑ 61'
-
37
Kevin Santos ↑ 72'
- 31
Coach
Abel Ferreira
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
- 92
- 5
-
4
Kaique Rocha ↓ Romulo Cruz 57'
-
26
Erick ↓ Alex Santana 46'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Christian 58'
- 1
- 37
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Willian 79'
- 14
Bench
- 33
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 46'
-
11
Willian ↑ 79'
- 17
-
88
Christian ↑ 58'
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 20'
- 19
- 21
-
35
Romulo Cruz ↑ 57'
- 24
- 42
- –
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Endrick | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Mauricio | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Gabriel Menino | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Vitor Bueno | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or CA Paranaense
41%
SE Palmeiras or CA Paranaense
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 26% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

