Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Vicarage Road 19,916 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Callum Robinson
Giorgi Chakvetadze 38' 1–1
1–2 42' Callum Robinson

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 David Harrison (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
21 Dec Burnley FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
11 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Watford FC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
21 Dec Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
14 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–2 D
11 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–2 L
30 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Cardiff City FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC36% Draw29% Cardiff City FC35%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
64%
Watford FC or Cardiff City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC27% Draw47% Cardiff City FC26%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.