Sunday , 15 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,055 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stevenage FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Michael Webb
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Derby County FC A 0–1 L
13 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 2–3 L
10 Feb Port Vale FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Reading FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
27 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/5
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Josh Magennis 3 G 4 A
Daniel Kemp 3 G 2 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Stevenage FC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Evans will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sonny Bradley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Stevenage FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Stevenage FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Stevenage FC's compact .
  • 50' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Stevenage FC's shape.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Jake Forster-Caskey. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 63' Korey Smith is replacing Ryan Nyambe for the Derby County FC side.
  • 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 167 games and scored 148 goals.
  • 72' The Stevenage FC bench stirs into life. Jake Forster-Caskey is withdrawn and Finley Burns gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Aaron Pressley gets the nod from Stevenage FC. He replaces Kane Hemmings and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' The 28-year-old Terence Vancooten has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' The Stevenage FC bench stirs into life. Jordan Roberts is withdrawn and Harvey White gets his opportunity.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Thomas Barkhuizen is replaced by Louie Sibley on 81 minute.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! Taye Ashby-Hammond argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
  • 90' Brilliant from the midfielder! Louie Sibley makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 90.
  • 90' Stevenage FC make a change. Louis Thompson trudges off to be replaced by Vadaine Oliver on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw28% Stevenage FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Stevenage FC
55%
Derby County FC or Stevenage FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw50% Stevenage FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.