Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,055 HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stevenage FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Michael Webb
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W
10 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Derby County FC A 0–1 L
13 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 2–3 L
10 Feb Port Vale FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Reading FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
27 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Callum Elder suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Aaron Pressley has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Jordan Roberts needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' It’s high time Steve Evans made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Stevenage FC is showing some good football. However, Stevenage FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Jake Forster-Caskey.
  • 63' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Korey Smith is hanging Ryan Nyambe on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 72' The whistle greets Jake Forster-Caskey as he departs to be replaced by Finley Burns.
  • 73' Another change for Stevenage FC made on 73 minute. Kane Hemmings leaves to be changed by Aaron Pressley.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Another substitution for Stevenage FC to replace Jordan Roberts by Harvey White on 79 minute.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Louie Sibley. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 81 minute.
  • 84' Stevenage FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 89' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' Goal! Louie Sibley scores his 17 goal in 385 matches.
  • 90' The whistle greets Louis Thompson as he departs to be replaced by Vadaine Oliver.
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats Stevenage FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw28% Stevenage FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Stevenage FC
55%
Derby County FC or Stevenage FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw50% Stevenage FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.