Saturday , 14 November 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Reading FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,891 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Sam Smith
0–2 36' Harvey Knibbs
0–3 57' Harvey Knibbs
Jon Mellish 71' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Reading FC — League One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Coy
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Paul Newhouse
6 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
2
Carlisle United FC 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Reading FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Reading FC H 1–3 L
27 Feb Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Cambridge United FC H 0–4 L
10 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Carlisle United FC A 3–1 W
24 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–3 L
20 Feb Port Vale FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–4 L
13 Feb Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
10 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/–
46-60
7/3
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 8 G
Jacob Brown 4 G 1 A
Kyrell Lisbie 3 G 1 A
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Carlisle United FC and Reading FC get this one started.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Carlisle United FC and Reading FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' Reading FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sam Smith on 17.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' Carlisle United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Reading FC backline.
  • 32' Andy Yiadom, a Ghana defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' A stunning finish from Harvey Knibbs — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' Reading FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 51' Reading FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' GOAL! Harvey Knibbs fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Jordan Gibson. He replaces Taylor Charters on 59 minute.
  • 64' Lewis Wing has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 395 appearances.
  • 66' A change in the Reading FC ranks — Kelvin Ehibhationhan exits the field as Ben Elliott enters on 66.
  • 71' A goal from the England international Jon Mellish! He fires home on 71 to make it 1-3!
  • 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Daniel Butterworth comes on to replace Jack Diamond.
  • 84' Carlisle United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Kelvin Abrefa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Femi Azeez on 90 minute.
  • Reading FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC24% Draw24% Reading FC52%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Reading FC
76%
Carlisle United FC or Reading FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC18% Draw41% Reading FC41%
Actual: Reading FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.