Thursday , 2 July 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Reading FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,891 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Sam Smith
0–2 36' Harvey Knibbs
0–3 57' Harvey Knibbs
Jon Mellish 71' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Reading FCLeague One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Coy
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Paul Newhouse

Head-to-Head

1
2
Carlisle United FC 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Reading FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Reading FC H 1–3 L
27 Feb Burton Albion FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Cambridge United FC H 0–4 L
10 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Carlisle United FC A 3–1 W
24 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–3 L
20 Feb Port Vale FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–4 L
13 Feb Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
10 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Reading FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks surprising Reading FC does not make any changes. Andy Yiadom has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Reading FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Carlisle United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 17' Goal! Sam Smith scores his 62 goal in 366 matches.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Reading FC that had 379 games and scored 433 goals.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Harvey Knibbs, as he is very good at scoring at Brunton Park with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 32' Daniel Butterworth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 36' GOAL! Harvey Knibbs scores on 36. Assisted by Andy Yiadom
  • 41' It’s high time Ruben Selles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Paul Huntington made 378 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Reading FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' GOAL! Harvey Knibbs scores on 57.
  • 59' The whistle greets Taylor Charters as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Gibson.
  • 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Carlisle United FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 66' The Reading FC manager makes a substitution. Kelvin Ehibhationhan departs to be replaced by Ben Elliott.
  • 71' Goal! Jon Mellish scores his 12 goal in 13 matches.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 79 minute. Jack Diamond leaves to be changed by Daniel Butterworth.
  • 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Ellis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Reading FC. Femi Azeez is replaced by Kelvin Abrefa.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC24% Draw24% Reading FC52%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Reading FC
76%
Carlisle United FC or Reading FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC18% Draw41% Reading FC41%
Actual: Reading FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.