Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Reading FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 12 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 24,821 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dwight Gayle 53' 1–0
1–1 56' Sam Smith
Conor Hourihane pen 70' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Reading FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Jack Forder (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Howick

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Derby County FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
02 Mar Carlisle United FC A 3–1 W
24 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–3 L
20 Feb Port Vale FC H 2–0 W
17 Feb Portsmouth FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
6/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 8 G
Jacob Brown 2 G
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Reading FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The referee shows Reading FC player a card on 10.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Andy Yiadom. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 47' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
  • 49' Clinton Mola has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
  • 53' The England Dwight Gayle breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 1-0!
  • 56' Goal! Sam Smith scores his 62 goal in 372 matches.
  • 57' A moment of madness from Ebou Adams on 57 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 59' That is a card for Reading FC. Andy Yiadom will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' The Reading FC bench stirs into life. Femi Azeez is withdrawn and Jeriel Dorsett gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Joel Pereira is booked for Reading FC — card on 69.
  • 70' The Ireland Conor Hourihane breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 2-1!
  • 71' Corey Blackett-Taylor gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Sonny Bradley and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Martyn Waghorn is hanging Dwight Gayle on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Reading FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 79' Poor challenge from Louie Sibley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 81' Reading FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kelvin Ehibhationhan is hanging Sam Smith on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' Kelvin Abrefa gets the nod from Reading FC. He replaces Ben Elliott and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is withdrawn and Craig Forsyth gets his opportunity.
  • 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 89' Reading FC make a change. Harvey Knibbs trudges off to be replaced by Paul Mukairu on 89 minutes.
  • 90' That is a card for Reading FC. Jayden Wareham will be fuming at that decision.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC48% Draw26% Reading FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Reading FC
52%
Derby County FC or Reading FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw46% Reading FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.