Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-01 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-17 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2022-02-12 Middlesbrough FC 4–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–0	W
29 Dec	Leicester City FC	A	1–2	L
26 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–1	D
20 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	1–1	D
15 Dec	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	3–0	W
10 Dec	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Hull City AFC	H	0–1	L
26 Dec	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–0	D
20 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	0–2	L
13 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	3–1	W
09 Dec	Charlton Athletic FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Middlesbrough FC
#8	Position	#5
69	Points	80
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
67	Scored	72
59	Conceded	47
+8	GD	+25
1.50	PPG	1.74
43%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Lawrence	2
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
Jordan Hugill	1
Neeskens Kebano	1
Max Bird	1
Duane Holmes	1
Aaron Connolly	1
Jason Knight	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-01-01 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-12-29 Leicester City FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Derby County FC 1–1 Portsmouth FC D 2025-12-15 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–3 Derby County FC W 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-01-01 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-12-29 Middlesbrough FC 0–1 Hull City AFC L 2025-12-26 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Blackburn Rovers FC D 2025-12-20 Bristol City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC L 2025-12-13 Middlesbrough FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-12-09 Charlton Athletic FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.19 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC40% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC31%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

60%

Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC25% Draw50% Middlesbrough FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.6%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 0

6.4%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

1 – 3

3 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	19%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.