Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
13 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
09 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Middlesbrough FC
#23 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 10th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Middlesbrough FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.53 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.44 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC35% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 0.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 59%
41%
± 1.5 26%
74%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC
57%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC15% Draw74% Middlesbrough FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
41%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.6%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 1
2.6%
1 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
0.8%
2 – 2
0.7%
3 – 1
0.5%
0 – 3
0.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 21% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 17% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
65%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
59%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.