Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Leicester City FC 46 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Watford FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Dec | Ipswich Town FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Bristol City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Leicester City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Dec | Leicester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Leicester City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #8 |
| 46 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 12 / 16 / 18 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 58 | Scored | 67 |
| 68 | Conceded | 59 |
| -10 | GD | +8 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 26% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Leicester City FC are 23rd (46 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Leicester City FC and Derby County FC is underway.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Leicester City FC players.
Lineups
Leicester City FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Leicester City FC Form
2025-12-29
Leicester City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
2025-12-26
Leicester City FC
1–2
Watford FC
L
2025-12-20
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–1
Leicester City FC
L
2025-12-13
Leicester City FC
3–1
Ipswich Town FC
W
2025-12-10
Bristol City FC
2–2
Leicester City FC
D
2025-12-06
Derby County FC
1–3
Leicester City FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-12-29
Leicester City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2025-12-26
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-12-20
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2025-12-15
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-12-10
Derby County FC
1–1
Millwall FC
D
2025-12-06
Derby County FC
1–3
Leicester City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leicester City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Leicester City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
52%
Leicester City FC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Leicester City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC
| Handicap | Leicester City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

