Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 29 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Leicester City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Watford FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–4 L
13 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 3–1 W
10 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–2 D
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Leicester City FC Derby County FC
#23 Position #8
46 Points 69
46 Played 46
12 / 16 / 18 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
58 Scored 67
68 Conceded 59
-10 GD +8
1.00 PPG 1.50
26% Win % 43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Leicester City FC are 23rd (46 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC48% Draw24% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
52%
Leicester City FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leicester City FC32% Draw43% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.