Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 29 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Leicester City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Watford FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–4 L
13 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 3–1 W
10 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–2 D
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Leicester City FC Derby County FC
#5 Position #23
46 Points 0
46 Played 0
12 / 16 / 18 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
58 Scored 0
68 Conceded 0
-10 GD +0
1.00 PPG
26% Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Leicester City FC are 5th (46 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC47% Draw33% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
53%
Leicester City FC or Derby County FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leicester City FC26% Draw60% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.9%
1 – 0
17.6%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
2.9%
2 – 2
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 25% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 16% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.