Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Leicester City FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Mon 29 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

2
Leicester City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-29 Leicester City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC

Recent Form

Leicester City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Watford FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–4 L
13 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 3–1 W
10 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–2 D
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC51% Draw25% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Leicester City FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leicester City FC34% Draw45% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.