Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
13 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
09 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Middlesbrough FC
#23 Position #2
10 Points 29
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
14 Scored 30
30 Conceded 19
-16 GD +11
0.67 PPG 1.93
13% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC30% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
70%
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC17% Draw45% Middlesbrough FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.