Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC — FA Cup .
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Leeds United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Taylor
19 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
🟥 5 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Wrexham AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Leicester City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Derby County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Jan | Newcastle United FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Manchester United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Liverpool FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Crystal Palace FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
Leeds United FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Leeds United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Leeds United FC.
- The final score is 1-3.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Leeds United FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kemar Roofe | 4 |
| Kemar Roofe | 2 |
| Jack Marriott | 2 |
| Stuart Dallas | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 2 |
| Jamie Shackleton | 1 |
| Mateusz Klich | 1 |
| Joe Rodon | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Leeds United FC Form
2026-01-11
Derby County FC
1–3
Leeds United FC
W
2026-01-07
Newcastle United FC
4–3
Leeds United FC
L
2026-01-04
Leeds United FC
1–1
Manchester United FC
D
2026-01-01
Liverpool FC
0–0
Leeds United FC
D
2025-12-28
Sunderland AFC
1–1
Leeds United FC
D
2025-12-20
Leeds United FC
4–1
Crystal Palace FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leeds United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Leeds United FC
72%
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

