Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–5 L
09 Aug Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Derby County FC A 5–3 W
09 Aug Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
13 May Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
09 May Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
03 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
26 Apr Luton Town FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Coventry City FC
#8 Position #1
69 Points 95
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 28 / 11 / 7
67 Scored 97
59 Conceded 45
+8 GD +52
1.50 PPG 2.07
43% Win % 61%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Coventry City FC are 1st (95 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Coventry City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Coventry City FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw24% Coventry City FC45%
Actual: Coventry City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Coventry City FC
69%
Derby County FC or Coventry City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC22% Draw39% Coventry City FC39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.