Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Coventry City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–5 L
09 Aug Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Derby County FC A 5–3 W
09 Aug Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
13 May Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
09 May Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
03 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
26 Apr Luton Town FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Coventry City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Coventry City FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC36% Draw26% Coventry City FC38%
Actual: Coventry City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Coventry City FC
64%
Derby County FC or Coventry City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC27% Draw43% Coventry City FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.