Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Coventry City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,965 HT 45' · FT 45'
Shandon Baptiste 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Coventry City FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Derby County FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
21 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–3 L
18 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–0 W
14 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Burnley FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Luton Town FC to score. At the same time, Coventry City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 13' Coventry City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 13.
  • 15' Another change for Coventry City FC made on 15 minute. Tatsuhiro Sakamoto leaves to be changed by Jake Bidwell.
  • 20' It looks surprising Coventry City FC does not make any changes. Amari'i Bell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thomas Kaminski made 231 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' The referee shows Coventry City FC player a card on 45.
  • 46' Kal Naismith is replacing Christ Makosso for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam Walsh suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 57' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordan Clark is hanging Lamine Dabo on the field on 57 minute.
  • 58' Coventry City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 63' Another change for Coventry City FC made on 63 minute. Ellis Simms leaves to be changed by Josh Eccles.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Liam Walsh. He receives a card.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Liam Walsh.
  • 69' Luton Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Amari'i Bell is replaced by Shandon Baptiste.
  • 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Carlton Morris, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 26 goals in the last 23 games.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Matt Grimes.
  • 86' Josh Eccles was booked on 86.
  • 87' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Teden Mengi departs to be replaced by Reece Burke.
  • 90' Shandon Baptiste puts Luton Town FC on the lead.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Brandon Thomas-Asante. He replaces Luis Binks on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Coventry City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC50% Draw25% Coventry City FC25%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Coventry City FC
50%
Luton Town FC or Coventry City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC34% Draw45% Coventry City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Coventry City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Coventry City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.