Sunday , 16 August 2026

Exeter City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Sonny Cox 46' 1–1
Sonny Cox 49' 2–1
2–2 87' Eoin Toal

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
02 Mar Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
24 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
17 Feb Lincoln City FC A 0–1 L
13 Feb Derby County FC H 0–3 L
10 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Exeter City FC A 2–2 D
05 Mar Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
02 Mar Cambridge United FC H 2–0 W
27 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
24 Feb Blackpool FC A 1–4 L
20 Feb Cambridge United FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Exeter City FC Bolton Wanderers FC
#4 Position #3
49 Points 75
46 Played 46
12 / 13 / 21 W / D / L 19 / 18 / 9
52 Scored 70
61 Conceded 52
-9 GD +18
1.07 PPG 1.63
26% Win % 41%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 4th (49 pts). Bolton Wanderers FC are 3rd (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC26% Draw26% Bolton Wanderers FC48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
74%
Exeter City FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC19% Draw43% Bolton Wanderers FC38%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.