Thursday , 22 October 2026

Cuiabá EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 22 Jul 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 30' Diego Costa
Y 60' Luciano
Marllon 75' Y
Y 78' Luciano
Y 86' Erison
Y 90' Pablo Maia
Y 91' Luciano

Overview

Match Preview

Cuiabá EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
16 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
08 Jul EC Bahia H 1–1 D
02 Jul Santos FC H 3–0 W
27 Jun CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
22 Jun Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jul Cuiabá EC A 1–2 L
16 Jul Santos FC H 4–1 W
09 Jul RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
01 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
21 Jun CA Paranaense H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cuiaba EC and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
  • 5' Deyverson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Diego Costa on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Marllon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' Cuiaba EC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 48' A moment of madness from Jonathan Calleri on 48 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 53' Alan Empereur needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Luciano.
  • 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' What a strike from Clayson! The score is 1-0.
  • 67' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Nathan has done his job and it is now time for Luciano to step up.
  • 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luan, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 75' It’s a booking for Cuiaba EC player. Marllon gets a Yellow card.
  • 76' Wellington Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonathan Cafu at the 76 minute mark.
  • 77' Cuiaba EC ring the changes. Deyverson has done his job and it is now time for Isidro Pitta to step up.
  • 78' Luciano picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 78' Against the run of play, Isidro Pitta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 83' Cuiaba EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' Lucas Mineiro gets the nod from Cuiaba EC. He replaces Denilson Alves and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Erison argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 90' A goal from the Brazil international Nathan! He fires home on 90 to make it 2-1!
  • 90' Pablo Maia picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' A change in the Cuiaba EC ranks — Fernando Sobral exits the field as Ronald enters on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Cuiaba EC and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Cuiabá EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cuiabá EC46% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC25%
Actual: Cuiabá EC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Cuiabá EC or Draw
75%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
54%
Cuiabá EC or Sao Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cuiabá EC30% Draw51% Sao Paulo FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Cuiabá EC

Handicap Cuiabá EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Cuiabá EC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.