Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Cerezo Osaka FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 26 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Shunta Tanaka 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Cerezo Osaka FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jun	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
22 Jun	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–1	W
01 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
26 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–1	D
18 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
22 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
16 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–2	L
31 May	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L
18 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
15 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	5–2	W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/5

61-75

5/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	4 G
Pablo Sabbag	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Cerezo Osaka FC host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yoichi Naganuma made 346 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
8' Brilliant from the ! Kohei Tezuka makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 8.
13' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akio Kogiku will be considering his options from the bench.
23' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
28' Satoki Uejo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
33' So Kawahara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
38' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Il-kyu Park has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
48' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jin-hyeon Kim, as he is very good at scoring at Yodoko Sakura Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
55' A moment of madness from Shunta Tanaka on 55 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
59' The supporters are chanting for Akito Fukuta. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 59 minute.
64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
69' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
71' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Ayumu Yokoyama by Hikaru Nakahara on 71 minute.
76' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
81' Akito Fukuta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
84' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryo Watanabe is hanging Lucas Fernandes on the field on 84 minute.
89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Akio Kogiku might look to freshen things up shortly.
90' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Leo Ceara has done his job and it is now time for Justin Hubner to step up.
Full Time. Cerezo Osaka FC beats Sagan Tosu FC

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Shinji Kagawa
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 71'
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 84'
1
Han-Been Yang
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 84'
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 71'
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 90'

Coach Akio Kogiku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 71'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 59'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 84'
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 71'
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 59'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Mendes	3
Kato Mutsuki	3
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Tokuma Suzuki	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Fuchi Honda	2

Head to Head

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-22 Júbilo Iwata 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-06-15 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-06-01 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-05-18 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.41 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC55% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC18%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

45%

Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cerezo Osaka FC34% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC15%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

13.5%

1 – 1

13.2%

2 – 0

10.7%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

7.5%

3 – 0

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

2 – 2

3.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

4 – 0

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap	Cerezo Osaka FC covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	25%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.