Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 26 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jun Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
22 Jun Jubilo Iwata A 1–1 D
15 Jun Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
01 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
26 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
18 May Avispa Fukuoka A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
22 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L
31 May FC Tokyo H 0–1 L
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Cerezo Osaka FC host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 8' Kohei Tezuka doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
  • 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 23' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' It is a cagey affair so far. Cerezo Osaka FC in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
  • 33' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 38' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 43' With 1 assists to his name this season, Yoichi Naganuma is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 48' Lucas Fernandes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunta Tanaka.
  • 59' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Kohei Tezuka is withdrawn and Akito Fukuta gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Naoyuki Fujita, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FCHikaru Nakahara on, Ayumu Yokoyama off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' Over 81 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 84' Ryo Watanabe gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Lucas Fernandes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The whistle greets Leo Ceara as he departs to be replaced by Justin Hubner.
  • Full Time. Cerezo Osaka FC beats Sagan Tosu FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC55% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC18%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
45%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC34% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC15%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.