Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Cerezo Osaka FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 26 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Shunta Tanaka 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Cerezo Osaka FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jun	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
22 Jun	Júbilo Iwata	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–1	W
01 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
26 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–1	D
18 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	3–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
22 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
16 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–2	L
31 May	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L
18 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
15 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	5–2	W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/4

46-60

1/3

61-75

2/2

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

Solomon Sakuragawa	3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' A quiet spell here at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
8' A goal from the Japan international Kohei Tezuka! He fires home on 8 to make it 0-1!
13' Cerezo Osaka FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
18' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
33' Hikaru Nakahara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
38' Marcelo Ryan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
53' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
55' Shunta Tanaka is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
59' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ayumu Yokoyama made 279 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
69' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
71' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Ayumu Yokoyama has done his job and it is now time for Hikaru Nakahara to step up.
76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
81' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
84' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Ryo Watanabe on, Lucas Fernandes off on 84 minutes.
89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
90' The crowd applauds Leo Ceara as he leaves the pitch. Justin Hubner steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Shinji Kagawa
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 71'
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 84'
1
Han-Been Yang
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 84'
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 71'
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 90'

Coach Akio Kogiku

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 71'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 59'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 84'
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 71'
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 59'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kato Mutsuki	3
Bruno Mendes	3
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Tokuma Suzuki	2
Yuta Higuchi	2

Head to Head

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-22 Júbilo Iwata 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-06-15 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-06-01 Kyōto Sanga FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-05-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-05-18 Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.41 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC55% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC18%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

45%

Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cerezo Osaka FC34% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC15%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

13.5%

1 – 1

13.2%

2 – 0

10.7%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

7.5%

3 – 0

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

2 – 2

3.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

4 – 0

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap	Cerezo Osaka FC covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	25%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.