Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Mon 11 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Albirex NiigataJ. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Albirex Niigata H 3–1 W
19 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 3–3 D
05 Jul Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
21 Jun Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
14 Jun FC Tōkyō A 2–2 D
01 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–3 L
20 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
05 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Yodoko Sakura Stadium that hosts another battle between Cerezo Osaka FC and Albirex Niigata.
  • 2' Yuto Horigome puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
  • 7' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 12' Rikito Inoue has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 13' Goal! Motohiko Nakajima scores his 6 goal in 369 matches.
  • 18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 23' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shion Homma suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 43' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Kakeru Funaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 48' It’s high time Daisuke Kimori made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' GOAL! Lucas Fernandes scores on 54. Assisted by Shion Homma
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 61' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Yuto Horigome by Kento Hashimoto on 61 minute.
  • 66' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 71' Rafael Ratao is replacing Motohiko Nakajima for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 73' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Taiki Arai departs to be replaced by Hiroto Uemura.
  • 78' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Hinata Kida is replaced by Kyohei Yoshino on 78 minute.
  • 81' What an equalizer from Soya Fujiwara!
  • 82' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ken Yamura is hanging Eiji Shirai on the field on 82 minute.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Masaya Shibayama is replaced by Shinji Kagawa on 84 minute.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kento Hashimoto, as he is very good at scoring at Yodoko Sakura Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • With this win, Cerezo Osaka FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC53% Draw25% Albirex Niigata22%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
47%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Albirex Niigata
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC36% Draw45% Albirex Niigata19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.