Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 14 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
31 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–3 L
25 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–3 L
17 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–3 L
10 May Vissel Kobe H 1–0 W
03 May Albirex Niigata A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jun FC Tōkyō A 2–2 D
01 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–2 W
28 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
24 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
18 May Kawasaki Frontale A 0–2 L
11 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō Cerezo Osaka FC
#12 Position #2
37 Points 31
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
55 Scored 48
42 Conceded 38
+13 GD +10
2.06 PPG 1.72
72% Win % 61%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
/1
16-30
/2
31-45
8/
46-60
2/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 0-1.
  • 8' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 13' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tōkyō is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 18' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yasuki Kimoto, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 28' Kento Hashimoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 41' What a strike from Rafael Ratao! The score is 0-2.
  • 46' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niko Takahashi is hanging Kyohei Noborizato on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' The whistle greets Vitor Bueno as he departs to be replaced by Motohiko Nakajima.
  • 59' Kota Tawaratsumida is replacing Soma Anzai for the FC Tokyo side.
  • 60' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kein Sato is hanging Keigo Higashi on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Shion Homma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thiago Andrade on 65 minute.
  • 66' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 66 minute. Shinji Kagawa leaves to be changed by Shunta Tanaka.
  • 71' GOAL! Shunta Tanaka scores on 71. Assisted by Lucas Fernandes
  • 75' Leon Nozawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Endo on 75 minute.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 0-4.
  • 84' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton is hanging Marcelo Ryan on the field on 84 minute.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Rafael Ratao is replaced by Masaya Shibayama on 86 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.46 FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tōkyō47% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
53%
FC Tōkyō or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tōkyō38% Draw35% Cerezo Osaka FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap FC Tōkyō covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 18% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 9% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
14%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.