Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 7 Apr 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Deng 12' Y
Y 39' Capixaba
Y 88' Leo Ceara

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–1 L
03 Apr Jubilo Iwata A 0–2 L
30 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
16 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 2–2 D
09 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
02 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
03 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
30 Mar Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
16 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
09 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
02 Mar Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Albirex Niigata host Cerezo Osaka FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Yuzuru Shimada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 12' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thomas Deng.
  • 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 22' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' That is a card for Cerezo Osaka FC. Capixaba will be fuming at that decision.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Yuzuru Shimada gets a card.
  • 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 61' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Capixaba trudges off to be replaced by Hiroto Yamada on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' What a strike from Leo Ceara! The score is 0-1.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Eiji Miyamoto. He replaces Shusuke Ota on 70 minute.
  • 75' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Yoshiaki Takagi is replaced by Motoki Hasegawa.
  • 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' Satoki Uejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroaki Okuno on 84 minute.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCJustin Hubner on, Lucas Fernandes off on 87 minutes.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Leo Ceara gets a card.
  • Another three points for Cerezo Osaka FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata32% Draw32% Cerezo Osaka FC36%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata22% Draw54% Cerezo Osaka FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
0 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.