Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 7 Apr 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Deng 12' Y
Y 39' Capixaba
Y 88' Leo Ceara

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–1 L
03 Apr Júbilo Iwata A 0–2 L
30 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
16 Mar Tōkyō Verdy A 2–2 D
09 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
02 Mar Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
03 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
30 Mar Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
16 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
09 Mar Tōkyō Verdy H 2–1 W
02 Mar Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC get this one started.
  • 5' Koji Toriumi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 373 appearances.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 12' Controversy at the stadium! Thomas Deng argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 17' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' Hiroto Yamada, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' The referee has no hesitation. Capixaba is booked for Cerezo Osaka FC — card on 39.
  • 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 49' Capixaba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' Poor challenge from Yuzuru Shimada. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 55' Shusuke Ota needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
  • 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Hiroto Yamada on, Capixaba off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' Magnificent from Leo Ceara! That is 95 goals in 179 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' Eiji Miyamoto gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Shusuke Ota and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' Motoki Hasegawa gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Kyohei Noborizato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hiroaki Okuno is replaced by Satoki Uejo.
  • 87' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 87 minute. Lucas Fernandes leaves to be changed by Justin Hubner.
  • 88' The referee shows Cerezo Osaka FC player a card on 88.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata32% Draw32% Cerezo Osaka FC36%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata22% Draw54% Cerezo Osaka FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
0 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.