Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Apr | Júbilo Iwata | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC get this one started.
- 5' Koji Toriumi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 373 appearances.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 12' Controversy at the stadium! Thomas Deng argues furiously but the card stands.
- 17' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 27' Hiroto Yamada, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 37' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 39' The referee has no hesitation. Capixaba is booked for Cerezo Osaka FC — card on 39.
- 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 49' Capixaba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 50' Poor challenge from Yuzuru Shimada. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 55' Shusuke Ota needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
- 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Hiroto Yamada on, Capixaba off on 61 minutes.
- 66' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 69' Magnificent from Leo Ceara! That is 95 goals in 179 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 70' Eiji Miyamoto gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Shusuke Ota and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 78' Motoki Hasegawa gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Yoshiaki Takagi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Kyohei Noborizato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 84' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hiroaki Okuno is replaced by Satoki Uejo.
- 87' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 87 minute. Lucas Fernandes leaves to be changed by Justin Hubner.
- 88' The referee shows Cerezo Osaka FC player a card on 88.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 5
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↓ Yota Komi 70'
- 1
- 22
- 25
- 6
- 31
- 7
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↓ Eiji Miyamoto 70'
- 33
Bench
- 35
- 21
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 70'
- 18
-
27
Motoki Nagakura ↑ 70'
-
14
Motoki Hasegawa ↑ 78'
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↑ 70'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Justin Hubner 87'
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Hiroto Yamada 61'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Satoki Uejo 84'
- 6
- 14
- 10
- 2
- 24
- 21
-
38
Sota Kitano ↓ Masaya Shibayama 61'
Bench
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↑ 61'
- 55
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 84'
- 16
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 61'
-
28
Justin Hubner ↑ 87'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Motohiko Nakajima | 2 |
| Ken Yamura | 1 |
| Hirotaka Tameda | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Kazuhiko Chiba | 1 |
| Yuto Horigome | 1 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.4%
0 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

