Albirex Niigata vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia have won 132 goals from 101 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' FC Machida Zelvia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Takuma Nishimura, a Japan , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' The 31-year-old Hiroyuki Mae has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Go Kuroda will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' Takuma Nishimura adds to his 2 season tally! FC Machida Zelvia lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 48' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 51' Hokuto Shimoda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' Yuki Soma makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- 61' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Kaito Taniguchi exits the field as Danilo enters on 61.
- 66' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 67' GOAL! Yuki Soma fires home to make it 0-3!
- 69' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Keisuke Kasai comes on to replace Shusuke Ota.
- 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 76' What a strike from Shota Fujio! The score is 0-4.
- 78' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keiya Sento is hanging Hokuto Shimoda on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' Ken Yamura is replacing Motoki Hasegawa for the Albirex Niigata side.
- 88' The whistle greets Yuki Soma as he departs to be replaced by Sang-ho Na.
- Full Time. FC Machida Zelvia beats Albirex Niigata
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 6
- 31
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Danilo 61'
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Keisuke Kasai 69'
- 15
- 3
-
41
Motoki Hasegawa ↓ Ken Yamura 83'
- 30
-
8
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Yuji Hoshi 69'
- 1
Bench
- 5
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 69'
-
11
Danilo ↑ 61'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 83'
- 4
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 83'
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↑ 69'
- 21
- 22
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Keiya Sento 78'
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 88'
- 4
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Mitchell Duke 78'
- 16
- 50
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↓ Yuta Nakayama 78'
- 6
Bench
- 23
-
19
Yuta Nakayama ↑ 78'
-
5
Ibrahim Dresevic ↑ 88'
- 13
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 78'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 78'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 88'
- 49
- 90
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shota Fujio | 2 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Yota Komi | 1 |
| Min-Gyu Jang | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-06-29
Albirex Niigata
0–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-06-21
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Kashima Antlers
W
2025-06-14
Shonan Bellmare
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-05-31
FC Machida Zelvia
0–3
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-17
FC Machida Zelvia
3–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Albirex Niigata or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

