Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 29 Jun 2025 · 09:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs FC Machida ZelviaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L
15 Jun Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
31 May Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Albirex Niigata A 4–0 W
21 Jun Kashima Antlers H 2–1 W
14 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 2–1 W
31 May Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–3 L
25 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–2 D
17 May Kashiwa Reysol H 3–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Albirex Niigata host FC Machida Zelvia — let the battle begin!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 94 games and scored 116 goals.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' The 30-year-old Kaito Taniguchi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuta Nakayama suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 43' Takuma Nishimura is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 48' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
  • 51' FC Machida Zelvia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Soma makes it 0-2.
  • 61' Danilo is replacing Kaito Taniguchi for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 67' What a moment for Yuki Soma! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 69' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Shusuke Ota has done his job and it is now time for Keisuke Kasai to step up.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 76' Shota Fujio does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Machida Zelvia surge ahead!
  • 78' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Hokuto Shimoda trudges off to be replaced by Keiya Sento on 78 minutes.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Ken Yamura. He replaces Motoki Hasegawa on 83 minute.
  • 88' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Yuki Soma is replaced by Sang-ho Na on 88 minute.
  • FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata26% Draw28% FC Machida Zelvia46%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
74%
Albirex Niigata or FC Machida Zelvia
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata18% Draw46% FC Machida Zelvia36%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.