Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 19 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 52' Ryuya Nishio

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
05 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
28 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–1 D
14 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L
01 Jun Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 May Albirex Niigata A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 3–3 D
05 Jul Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
21 Jun Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
14 Jun FC Tōkyō A 2–2 D
01 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–2 W
28 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Shonan Bellmare and Cerezo Osaka FC has kicked off!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 6' Goal! Lucas Fernandes scores his 25 goal in 171 matches.
  • 11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
  • 14' What an equalizer from Akito Suzuki!
  • 19' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 24' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Yuto Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shion Homma suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Taiyo Hiraoka on 42.
  • 47' Goal! Rafael Ratao scores his 47 goal in 20 matches.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Ryuya Nishio. He receives a card.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hayato Okuda made 369 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 67' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Kohei Okuno by Hiroya Matsumoto on 67 minute.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Dion Cools is replaced by Takumi Nakamura.
  • 73' Cerezo Osaka FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Thiago Andrade on 73.
  • 75' Luiz Phellype is replacing Akito Suzuki for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 79' Sena Ishibashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shusuke Ota on 79 minute.
  • 82' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Rafael Ratao by Motohiko Nakajima on 82 minute.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' What an equalizer from Luiz Phellype!
  • 90' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 90 minute. Shinji Kagawa leaves to be changed by Masaya Shibayama.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare39% Draw27% Cerezo Osaka FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
61%
Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare29% Draw44% Cerezo Osaka FC27%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
24%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.