Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jun | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–2 | W |
| 28 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Shonan Bellmare and Cerezo Osaka FC has kicked off!
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 6' Goal! Lucas Fernandes scores his 25 goal in 171 matches.
- 11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
- 14' What an equalizer from Akito Suzuki!
- 19' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 24' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 29' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Yuto Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shion Homma suffering a number of foals already.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 42' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Taiyo Hiraoka on 42.
- 47' Goal! Rafael Ratao scores his 47 goal in 20 matches.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Ryuya Nishio. He receives a card.
- 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hayato Okuda made 369 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 62' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 67' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Kohei Okuno by Hiroya Matsumoto on 67 minute.
- 71' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Dion Cools is replaced by Takumi Nakamura.
- 73' Cerezo Osaka FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Thiago Andrade on 73.
- 75' Luiz Phellype is replacing Akito Suzuki for the Shonan Bellmare side.
- 79' Sena Ishibashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shusuke Ota on 79 minute.
- 82' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Rafael Ratao by Motohiko Nakajima on 82 minute.
- 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 89' What an equalizer from Luiz Phellype!
- 90' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 90 minute. Shinji Kagawa leaves to be changed by Masaya Shibayama.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 37
- 8
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 67'
- 50
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Yutaro Oda 75'
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Luiz Phellype 75'
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Sena Ishibashi 79'
- 32
-
7
Konsuke Onose ↓ Masaki Ikeda 75'
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 75'
-
66
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 67'
- 31
-
9
Yutaro Oda ↑ 75'
- 4
- 14
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↑ 75'
- 72
-
20
Sena Ishibashi ↑ 79'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Dion Cools ↓ Takumi Nakamura 71'
- 77
- 8
- 44
- 9
- 10
- 5
- 33
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 82'
- 16
- 1
Bench
- 35
-
2
Takumi Nakamura ↑ 71'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 82'
- 55
- 21
- 17
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 82'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Akito Suzuki | 5 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 3 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Shota Kobayashi | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Akimi Barada | 1 |
| Luiz Phellype | 1 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
61%
Shonan Bellmare or Cerezo Osaka FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

