Ceará SC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Ceara SC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.
- Ceara SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 20 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 20 | 31 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo FR | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 20 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 20 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 20 | 26 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 20 | 26 |
| 14 | Santos FC | 20 | 22 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 20 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 20 | 21 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 20 | 21 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 19 | 20 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | SC Recife | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Santos FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | EC Juventude | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Ceará SC and Fluminense FC.
- 5' Nonato has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' Ignacio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rene made 382 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Lima is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
- 38' Against the run of play, Antonio Galeano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bruno is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Vinicius Zanocelo on 45.
- 46' Hercules makes way for Nonato at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 51' Vina is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ceará SC tonight.
- 56' The supporters are chanting for Fernandinho. He replaces Pedro Henrique on 56 minute.
- 59' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 59.
- 64' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 72' What a strike from Pedro Raul! The score is 0-2.
- 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pedro Raul.
- 75' Everaldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Kennedy on 75 minute.
- 78' Thiago Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lima at the 78 minute mark.
- 80' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Vinicius Zanocelo is withdrawn and Lourenco gets his opportunity.
- 84' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Marcos Victor exits the field as Marllon enters on 84.
- 86' Marllon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- 2-0 the final result. Fluminense FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Ceara SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 88
- 94
- 9
- 79
- 70
- 25
- 44
- 29
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 26
- 11
- 3
- 77
- 33
- 1
- 30
- 97
- 2
- 10
- 17
- 20
Coach
Leo Condé
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
6
Rene ↓ Gabriel Fuentes 46'
- 23
- 4
- 22
-
99
John Kennedy ↓ Everaldo 75'
-
45
Lima ↓ Thiago Santos 78'
- 35
- 8
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Keno 46'
Bench
- 98
- 2
- 21
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 78'
- 94
-
16
Nonato ↑ 46'
-
11
Keno ↑ 46'
- 7
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 75'
- 30
- 18
-
12
Gabriel Fuentes ↑ 46'
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Vinicius | 3 |
| Mateus Goncalves | 2 |
| Matheus Martinelli | 1 |
| Leandro Carvalho | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Leandro Carvalho | 1 |
| Samuel | 1 |
Head to Head
Ceara SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39
Ceara SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ceara SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Ceara SC or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
Ceara SC or Fluminense FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ceara SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Ceara SC
| Handicap | Ceara SC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Ceara SC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
