Tuesday , 28 July 2026

Ceará SC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 59' Ignacio
Pedro Raul 73' Y
Marllon 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceara SC vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
25 Oct SC Internacional H 1–0 W
20 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
17 Oct EC Juventude H 1–0 W
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Ceará SC and Fluminense FC.
  • 5' Nonato has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Ignacio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rene made 382 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Lima is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
  • 38' Against the run of play, Antonio Galeano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bruno is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Vinicius Zanocelo on 45.
  • 46' Hercules makes way for Nonato at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 51' Vina is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ceará SC tonight.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Fernandinho. He replaces Pedro Henrique on 56 minute.
  • 59' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 59.
  • 64' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' What a strike from Pedro Raul! The score is 0-2.
  • 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pedro Raul.
  • 75' Everaldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Kennedy on 75 minute.
  • 78' Thiago Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lima at the 78 minute mark.
  • 80' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Vinicius Zanocelo is withdrawn and Lourenco gets his opportunity.
  • 84' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Marcos Victor exits the field as Marllon enters on 84.
  • 86' Marllon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 2-0 the final result. Fluminense FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Ceara SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceara SC48% Draw29% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Ceara SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceara SC or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
Ceara SC or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceara SC33% Draw51% Fluminense FC16%
Actual: Ceara SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceara SC

Handicap Ceara SC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceara SC keeps clean sheet
44%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.