EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 23 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 23 | 36 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 23 | 32 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 22 | 30 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 23 | 29 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos FC | 22 | 25 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 22 | 25 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 23 | 24 |
| 17 | Clube do Remo | 23 | 23 |
| 18 | Mirassol FC | 22 | 23 |
| 19 | CR Vasco da Gama | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Clube do Remo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Coritiba FBC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 31 May | Chapecoense AF | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 17 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 29 | Points | 48 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 5 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 6 / 3 |
| 23 | Scored | 40 |
| 33 | Conceded | 19 |
| -10 | GD | +21 |
| 1.26 | PPG | 2.09 |
| 35% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Vitoria are 12th (29 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 5 G | 1 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and EC Vitoria launch into their encounter with SE Palmeiras.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 14' The referee calls foul for Mauricio. He receives a card.
- 19' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
- 27' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Mauricio gets a card.
- 32' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
- 37' Controversy at the stadium! Caca argues furiously but the card stands.
- 40' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Luan Candido gets a card.
- 41' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Leandro Martinez exits the field as Ze Vitor enters on 41.
- 46' Magnificent from Mauricio! That is 27 goals in 252 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Jose Manuel Lopez on, Gustavo Gomez off on 46 minutes.
- 51' What composure from Fabiano Silva! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 56' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Fabiano Silva gets a card.
- 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 65' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Alexander Barboza is withdrawn and Lucas Evangelista gets his opportunity.
- 66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emanuel Britez.
- 67' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 67 minute. Fabiano Silva leaves to be changed by Jamerson.
- 70' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jhon Arias on 70.
- 74' Vitor Roque is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jhon Arias at the 74 minute mark.
- 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 84' Brilliant from the ! Ramon Sosa makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 84.
- 89' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 25
- 36
- 2
- 13
- 44
- 1
- 70
- 6
- 10
- 95
- 91
Bench
- 7
- 33
- 15
- 8
- 23
- 83
- 79
- 11
- 71
- 98
- 12
- 88
Coach
Jair Ventura
SE Palmeiras Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 15
- 8
- 2
- 1
- 18
- 17
- 26
- 22
-
11
Jhon Arias ↓ Vitor Roque 74'
- 19
- 40
Bench
- 7
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 65'
- 14
-
12
Khellven ↑ 46'
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 46'
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 46'
- 21
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 74'
- 4
- 37
- 43
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Jhon Arias | 1 |
| Ramon Sosa | 1 |
| Yago Felipe | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Luan | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.74
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
41%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
82%
EC Vitoria or SE Palmeiras
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
12.7%
0 – 1
11.2%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
9.1%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
3.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%
2 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| +0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +1 | 30% | 23% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

