Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Mon 20 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
16 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
05 Oct EC Vitoria H 4–3 W
01 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
27 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
24 Sep EC Bahia H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
17 Oct EC Juventude H 1–0 W
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W

Season Stats

CR Vasco da Gama Fluminense FC
#16 Position #4
31 Points 48
27 Played 28
8 / 7 / 12 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
34 Scored 44
41 Conceded 36
-7 GD +8
1.15 PPG 1.71
30% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CR Vasco da Gama get us underway at Sao Januario.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luciano Acosta made 285 appearances and scored 81 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The 25-year-old Lucas Piton has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Sao Januario. CR Vasco da Gama seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 38' What a moment for Rayan! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 41' Nuno Moreira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
  • 46' Over 46 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 52' What a moment for Nuno Moreira! That strike on 52 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' CR Vasco da Gama currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Keno on, Agustin Canobbio off on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' A tactical swap from CR Vasco da Gama — Matheus Franca on, Tche Tche off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' With 2 assists to his name this season, Kevin Serna is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
  • 76' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Samuel Xavier by Guga on 76 minute.
  • 77' Juan Freytes is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 77' Yeferson Soteldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Serna on 77 minute.
  • 82' Agustin Canobbio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 86' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Carlos Gomez departs to be replaced by David.
  • 90' The whistle greets Rayan as he departs to be replaced by Gabriel Sousa.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CR Vasco da Gama players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.85 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama50% Draw24% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
74%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
CR Vasco da Gama or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama35% Draw42% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.