Sao Paulo FC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Chapecoense AF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, SC Recife does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chrystian Barletta, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' SC Recife seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Igor Vinicius has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' SC Recife is showing some good football. However, SC Recife are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ferreira is hanging Jose Sabino on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Robert Arboleda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 25 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Caique Franca made 370 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Lima.
- 62' Another change for SC Recife made on 62 minute. Lenny Lobato leaves to be changed by Carlos Alberto.
- 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus is hanging Marcos Antonio on the field on 69 minute.
- 74' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 74 minute. Jonathan Calleri leaves to be changed by Andre Silva.
- 79' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 82' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. Diogo Hereda is replaced by Matheus Alexandre on 82 minute.
- 87' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Matheus Alexandre. He receives a card.
- 90' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Igor Carius is replaced by Lucas Cunha.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 16
- 18
- 9
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 23
Bench
- 93
- 6
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 22
- 21
- 43
- 49
- 48
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Arthur 62'
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Lucas Cunha 90'
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Chrystian Barletta 74'
- 27
- 44
- 22
-
77
Lenny Lobato ↓ Carlos Alberto 62'
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Fabricio Dominguez 74'
- 6
- 32
- 14
Bench
- 25
- 19
-
33
Matheus Alexandre ↑ 82'
- 91
-
8
Fabricio Dominguez ↑ 74'
-
17
Carlos Alberto ↑ 62'
- 11
- 12
-
3
Lucas Cunha ↑ 90'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 74'
-
38
Arthur ↑ 62'
- 41
Coach
Pepa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Nene | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Santiago Trellez | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
| Marlone | 1 |
| Maik | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Recife
57%
Sao Paulo FC or SC Recife
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 24% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.