Sao Paulo FC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Chapecoense AF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sao Paulo FC have kicked off against SC Recife. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' SC Recife fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Pablo Felipe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Recife backline.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' SC Recife seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Ferreira on, Jose Sabino off on 46 minutes.
- 51' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and SC Recife are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Lima.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Carlos Alberto. He replaces Lenny Lobato on 62 minute.
- 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 69' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Marcos Antonio departs to be replaced by Matheus.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Andre Silva. He replaces Jonathan Calleri on 74 minute.
- 79' Caique Franca has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 82' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Alexandre is hanging Diogo Hereda on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Igor Carius is replaced by Lucas Cunha.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 16
- 18
- 9
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 23
Bench
- 93
- 6
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 22
- 21
- 43
- 49
- 48
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Arthur 62'
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Lucas Cunha 90'
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Chrystian Barletta 74'
- 27
- 44
- 22
-
77
Lenny Lobato ↓ Carlos Alberto 62'
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Fabricio Dominguez 74'
- 6
- 32
- 14
Bench
- 25
- 19
-
33
Matheus Alexandre ↑ 82'
- 91
-
8
Fabricio Dominguez ↑ 74'
-
17
Carlos Alberto ↑ 62'
- 11
- 12
-
3
Lucas Cunha ↑ 90'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 74'
-
38
Arthur ↑ 62'
- 41
Coach
Pepa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
| Marlone | 1 |
| Gabriel Sara | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Lucas Lima | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Recife
57%
Sao Paulo FC or SC Recife
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 24% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.