Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 16 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W
09 Nov Avai FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
13 Apr SC Recife H 3–1 W
05 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
30 Mar Santos FC H 2–1 W
08 Dec Cuiaba EC A 2–1 W
04 Dec CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' CR Vasco da Gama receives a card for a hard tackle on 4.
  • 9' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 9.
  • 10' That looks like a foul for a card for Fabiano Silva.
  • 15' The travelling CR Vasco da Gama supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dimitri Payet, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 29' Pedro Raul puts Ceara SC on the lead.
  • 31' Paulo Henrique was booked on 31.
  • 34' It’s gonna be a card for Hugo Moura.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Antonio Galeano on 38.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Time for substitution for CR Vasco da Gama. Paulinho is replaced by Jair.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' Lucas Mugni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 57' Alex Teixeira is replacing Dimitri Payet for the CR Vasco da Gama side.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Matheus Bahia. He receives a card.
  • 64' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Bruno by Fernando Miguel on 64 minute.
  • 69' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 69 minutes.
  • 71' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Lucas Mugni by Matheus Araujo on 71 minute.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CR Vasco da Gama that had 287 games and scored 287 goals.
  • 81' What a strike from Pedro Raul! The score is 0-2.
  • 86' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 89' The whistle greets Pedro Raul as he departs to be replaced by Romulo.
  • 90' Jean Meneses is replacing Lucas Freitas for the CR Vasco da Gama side.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC50% Draw26% CR Vasco da Gama24%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
76%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
50%
Ceará SC or CR Vasco da Gama
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw46% CR Vasco da Gama19%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
35%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.