Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 16 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W
09 Nov Avaí FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
13 Apr SC Recife H 3–1 W
05 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
30 Mar Santos FC H 2–1 W
08 Dec Cuiaba EC A 2–1 W
04 Dec CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Ceará SC and CR Vasco da Gama is underway.
  • 4' Paulinho was booked on 4.
  • 9' A quiet spell here at Castelao. CR Vasco da Gama seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Fabiano Silva picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 15' CR Vasco da Gama come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Vasco da Gama needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ceará SC and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' Pedro Raul adds to his 1 season tally! Ceara SC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paulo Henrique on 31.
  • 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hugo Moura on 34 minutes.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Antonio Galeano on 38 minutes.
  • 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Jair is ready to make an impact after coming on for Paulinho at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Another change for CR Vasco da Gama made on 57 minute. Dimitri Payet leaves to be changed by Alex Teixeira.
  • 62' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 62.
  • 64' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Bruno exits the field as Fernando Miguel enters on 64.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' Matheus Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 71 minute.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dimitri Payet, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' What a strike from Pedro Raul! The score is 0-2.
  • 86' Paulo Henrique, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 89' Another change for Ceara SC made on 89 minute. Pedro Raul leaves to be changed by Romulo.
  • 90' Lucas Freitas makes way for Jean Meneses at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from CR Vasco da Gama.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Ceará SC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC50% Draw26% CR Vasco da Gama24%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
76%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
50%
Ceará SC or CR Vasco da Gama
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw46% CR Vasco da Gama19%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.