Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ceará SC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
06 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' The Brazil Pedro Henrique breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 0-1!
  • 9' Ceará SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 14' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ceará SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 19' Rafael Monteiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ceará SC and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 29' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enzo Diaz on 31 minutes.
  • 36' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Ceará SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 44' Ryan Rodrigues makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
  • 46' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Willian Machado.
  • 46' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Ferreira by Cedric on 46 minute.
  • 51' Ceará SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' Pedro Henrique picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' Matheus Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 60 minute.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Pedro Henrique as he leaves the pitch. Guilherme Luiz steps in for Ceara SC.
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Igor Vinicius argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Alisson by Marcos Antonio on 75 minute.
  • 76' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Nicolas Vichiatto comes on to replace Matheus Bahia.
  • 84' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 86' Lourenco is replacing Fernando Sobral for the Ceara SC side.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Damian Bobadilla. He receives a card.
  • 90' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Luciano departs to be replaced by Alan Franco.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC39% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
61%
Ceará SC or Sao Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC27% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.