Tuesday , 14 July 2026

Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Casa Pia AC
1 – 1
Full Time
Rio Ave FC
Sat 16 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior HT 45' · FT 45'
Larra 35' 1–0
1–1 52' Jalen Blesa
Joao Marques 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 Vitória SC 34 42
9 FC Arouca 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 CD Santa Clara 34 36
13 Rio Ave FC 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

2
4
2
Casa Pia AC 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals Rio Ave FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-16 Casa Pia AC 1–1 Rio Ave FC 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2025-03-29 Casa Pia AC 2–1 Rio Ave FC 2024-11-02 Rio Ave FC 2–2 Casa Pia AC 2024-02-11 Rio Ave FC 1–0 Casa Pia AC

Recent Form

Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D
11 May Vitória SC A 1–0 W
03 May CD Tondela H 0–1 L
27 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L
23 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–1 L
18 Apr CD Santa Clara H 0–0 D
Rio Ave FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D
11 May Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
03 May Gil Vicente FC H 0–0 D
25 Apr Vitória SC A 0–2 L
17 Apr AVS H 2–2 D
11 Apr CD Santa Clara A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC Rio Ave FC
#16 Position #13
30 Points 36
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 8 / 12 / 14
31 Scored 35
57 Conceded 57
-26 GD -22
0.88 PPG 1.06
18% Win % 24%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts). Rio Ave FC are 13th (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tamas Nikitscher, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' It looks surprising Rio Ave FC does not make any changes. Pedro Rosas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' It’s high time Sotiris Sylaidopoulos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Larra puts Casa Pia AC on the lead.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Rio Ave FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' What a strike from Jalen Blesa! The score is 1-1.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Casa Pia AC that had 136 games and scored 129 goals.
  • 58' Sensational shot from Joao Goulart. Casa Pia AC is back in the lead.
  • 63' Joao Tome needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 68' Casa Pia AC is showing some good football. However, Casa Pia AC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sebastian Perez made 175 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' Rio Ave FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jalen Blesa scoring 1 goals.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joao Marques on 80.
  • 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Rio Ave FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kaly suffering a number of foals already.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Álvaro Pacheco

Rio Ave FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sotiris Sylaidopoulos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Cassiano 2
Martim Neto 1
Nuno Moreira 1
Jalen Blesa 1
Saviour Godwin 1
Larra 1
Renato Pantalon 1
Tiago Fonseca Morais 1

Head to Head

2026-05-16 Casa Pia AC 1–1 Rio Ave FC 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2025-03-29 Casa Pia AC 2–1 Rio Ave FC 2024-11-02 Rio Ave FC 2–2 Casa Pia AC 2024-02-11 Rio Ave FC 1–0 Casa Pia AC

Casa Pia AC Form

2026-05-16 Casa Pia AC 1–1 Rio Ave FC D 2026-05-11 Vitória SC 0–1 Casa Pia AC W 2026-05-03 Casa Pia AC 0–1 CD Tondela L 2026-04-27 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 Casa Pia AC L 2026-04-23 Casa Pia AC 0–1 Sporting Clube de Braga L 2026-04-18 Casa Pia AC 0–0 CD Santa Clara D

Rio Ave FC Form

2026-05-16 Casa Pia AC 1–1 Rio Ave FC D 2026-05-11 Rio Ave FC 1–4 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2026-05-03 Rio Ave FC 0–0 Gil Vicente FC D 2026-04-25 Vitória SC 2–0 Rio Ave FC L 2026-04-17 Rio Ave FC 2–2 AVS D 2026-04-11 CD Santa Clara 0–2 Rio Ave FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Rio Ave FC xG
I would bet for: Casa Pia AC or Rio Ave FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC35% Draw30% Rio Ave FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
65%
Draw or Rio Ave FC
65%
Casa Pia AC or Rio Ave FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC23% Draw51% Rio Ave FC26%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push Rio Ave FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.