Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Dimitrios Goutas 78' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 James Wilson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Millwall FC H 1–0 W
02 Dec Southampton FC A 0–2 L
28 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Preston North End FC A 2–1 W
11 Nov Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
04 Nov Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
02 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
29 Nov Ipswich Town FC A 1–3 L
25 Nov Coventry City FC H 0–3 L
11 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC A 4–0 W
04 Nov Southampton FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cardiff City FC gets underway.
  • 5' Cardiff City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Allan Campbell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Cardiff City Stadium. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Cardiff City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 30' The 32-year-old Dimitrios Goutas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Ryan Wintle has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ebou Adams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Cardiff City FC ring the changes. Ike Ugbo has done his job and it is now time for Yakou Meite to step up.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cardiff City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' Duncan Watmore has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Yakou Meite.
  • 63' Cardiff City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 68' Cardiff City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 70' The whistle greets Zian Flemming as he departs to be replaced by Duncan Watmore.
  • 75' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 78' Dimitrios Goutas puts Cardiff City FC on the lead.
  • 79' Ryan Leonard was booked on 79.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Ryan Longman is replaced by Aidomo Emakhu on 82 minute.
  • 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 89' A tactical swap from Cardiff City FCEbou Adams on, Manolis Siopis off on 89 minutes.
  • Full Time. Cardiff City FC beats Millwall FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Millwall FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC41% Draw29% Millwall FC30%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Millwall FC
59%
Cardiff City FC or Millwall FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC26% Draw50% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.