Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+3' Ryan Fraser

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Southampton FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Millwall FC 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Southampton FC H 0–1 L
28 Oct Watford FC A 2–2 D
24 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
21 Oct Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct Hull City AFC H 2–2 D
03 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Millwall FC A 1–0 W
28 Oct Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
25 Oct Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
07 Oct Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Southampton FC
#3 Position #4
83 Points 80
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
64 Scored 82
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD +26
1.80 PPG 1.74
52% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Millwall FC and Southampton FC get this one started.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Shea Charles is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Russell Martin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Southampton FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' Jan Bednarek, a Poland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jake Cooper made 382 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Murray Wallace.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 64' Another change for Millwall FC made on 64 minute. George Honeyman leaves to be changed by Aidomo Emakhu.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' A moment of madness from Ryan Longman on 70 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. James Bree is replaced by Ryan Manning.
  • 75' Southampton FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 77' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Kamal Deen Sulemana is withdrawn and Ryan Fraser gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' Che Adams gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Stuart Armstrong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Tom Bradshaw by Kevin Nisbet on 84 minute.
  • 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' Jan Bednarek has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Millwall FC 0-1 Southampton FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC27% Draw29% Southampton FC44%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Southampton FC
73%
Millwall FC or Southampton FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC19% Draw50% Southampton FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 23% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.