Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2020-21

Cagliari Calcio

0 – 2

Full Time

AC Milan

Mon 18 Jan 2021 · 19:45 UTC Sardegna Arena HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'

Y 39' Alessio Romagnoli

Y 68' Alexis Saelemaekers

R 74' Alexis Saelemaekers

Diego Godin 83' Y

Luca Ceppitelli 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Sardegna Arena.

Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
Referee Stefano Liberti
Referee Rosario Abisso
Referee Alessio Tolfo

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Cagliari Calcio 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2021-01-18 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan 2020-08-01 AC Milan 3–0 Cagliari Calcio 2020-01-11 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan 2019-02-10 AC Milan 3–0 Cagliari Calcio 2018-09-16 Cagliari Calcio 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	AC Milan	H	0–2	L
10 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–1	L
06 Jan	Benevento Calcio	H	1–2	L
03 Jan	SSC Napoli	H	1–4	L
23 Dec	AS Roma	A	2–3	L
20 Dec	Udinese Calcio	H	1–1	D

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	A	2–0	W
09 Jan	Torino FC	H	2–0	W
06 Jan	Juventus FC	H	1–3	L
03 Jan	Benevento Calcio	A	2–0	W
23 Dec	SS Lazio	H	3–2	W
20 Dec	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio		AC Milan
#14	Position	#5
43	Points	70
38	Played	38
11 / 10 / 17	W / D / L	20 / 10 / 8
40	Scored	53
53	Conceded	35
-13	GD	+18
1.13	PPG	1.84
29%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Cagliari Calcio is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
5' Cagliari Calcio are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
7' The deadlock is broken! Zlatan Ibrahimovic gets on the scoresheet on 7 minutes.
12' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
22' Pierre Kalulu is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cagliari Calcio tonight.
27' Cagliari Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
32' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
37' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
39' Alessio Romagnoli was booked on 39.
44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alfred Duncan made 384 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
46' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Simon Kjaer is withdrawn and Pierre Kalulu gets his opportunity.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
52' Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
57' A change in the Cagliari Calcio ranks — Gaston Pereiro exits the field as Riccardo Sottil enters on 57.
62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eusebio Di Francesco might look to freshen things up shortly.
66' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Jens Hauge is replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers.
68' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
69' Another substitution for Cagliari Calcio to replace Alfred Duncan by Christian Oliva on 69 minute.
72' The supporters are chanting for Soualiho Meite. He replaces Sandro Tonali on 72 minute.
74' It’s gonna be a Red card for Alexis Saelemaekers.
79' The Cagliari Calcio bench stirs into life. Gabriele Zappa is withdrawn and Leonardo Pavoletti gets his opportunity.
80' Alberto Cerri gets the nod from Cagliari Calcio. He replaces Giovanni Simeone and will look to change the dynamic.
83' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Diego Godin on 83 minutes.
83' Andrea Conti is replacing Brahim Diaz for the AC Milan side.
88' A moment of madness from Luca Ceppitelli on 88 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Cagliari Calcio will be frustrated.
Cagliari Calcio will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

20
Gaston Pereiro ↓ Riccardo Sottil 57'
2
Diego Godin
28
Alessio Cragno
23
Luca Ceppitelli
22
Babis Lykogiannis
10
Joao Pedro Galvao C
4
Radja Nainggolan
9
Giovanni Simeone ↓ Alberto Cerri 80'
32
Alfred Duncan ↓ Christian Oliva 69'
8
Razvan Marin
25
Gabriele Zappa ↓ Leonardo Pavoletti 79'

Bench

Coach Eusebio Di Francesco

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Lucas Paqueta	1

Head to Head

Cagliari Calcio Form

2021-01-18 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan L 2021-01-10 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2021-01-06 Cagliari Calcio 1–2 Benevento Calcio L 2021-01-03 Cagliari Calcio 1–4 SSC Napoli L 2020-12-23 AS Roma 3–2 Cagliari Calcio L 2020-12-20 Cagliari Calcio 1–1 Udinese Calcio D

AC Milan Form

2021-01-18 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan W 2021-01-09 AC Milan 2–0 Torino FC W 2021-01-06 AC Milan 1–3 Juventus FC L 2021-01-03 Benevento Calcio 0–2 AC Milan W 2020-12-23 AC Milan 3–2 SS Lazio W 2020-12-20 US Sassuolo Calcio 1–2 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.64 Cagliari Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: AC Milan to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio15% Draw23% AC Milan62%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw

38%

Draw or AC Milan

85%

Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio10% Draw45% AC Milan45%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

14.4%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.3%

0 – 0

9.8%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 3

8.6%

1 – 3

5.6%

1 – 0

4.2%

0 – 4

4.1%

2 – 1

2.9%

2 – 2

2.8%

1 – 4

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap	Cagliari Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	2%	97%
-1.5	3%	—	97%
-1	3%	8%	89%
-0.5	11%	—	89%
+0.5	34%	—	66%
+1	34%	25%	41%
+1.5	59%	—	41%
+2	59%	21%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

53% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.