Sunday , 16 August 2026

Casa Pia AC vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora H 3–5 L
26 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–4 L
03 Oct GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
27 Sep Moreirense FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep FC Famalicão H 1–1 D
14 Sep FC Arouca A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Casa Pia AC A 5–3 W
25 Oct Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Gil Vicente FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep AVS H 3–0 W
21 Sep CD Tondela A 0–0 D
14 Sep Vitória SC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC CF Estrela da Amadora
#16 Position #7
0 Points 2
1 Played 2
0 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 0
0 Scored 4
1 Conceded 4
-1 GD +0
0.00 PPG 1.00
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

Casa Pia AC are 16th (0 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 7th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC22% Draw26% CF Estrela da Amadora52%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
48%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
78%
Casa Pia AC or CF Estrela da Amadora
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC14% Draw44% CF Estrela da Amadora42%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 2
10.7%
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 24% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
16%
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.