Thursday , 2 July 2026

Casa Pia AC vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs CF Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora H 3–5 L
26 Oct Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–4 L
03 Oct GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
27 Sep Moreirense FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep FC Famalicão H 1–1 D
14 Sep FC Arouca A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Casa Pia AC A 5–3 W
25 Oct Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Gil Vicente FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep AVS H 3–0 W
21 Sep CD Tondela A 0–0 D
14 Sep Vitória SC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC CF Estrela da Amadora
#16 Position #15
30 Points 30
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
31 Scored 38
57 Conceded 56
-26 GD -18
0.88 PPG 0.88
18% Win % 18%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Casa Pia AC or CF Estrela da Amadora 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC33% Draw26% CF Estrela da Amadora41%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
59%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
67%
Casa Pia AC or CF Estrela da Amadora
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC25% Draw41% CF Estrela da Amadora34%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 19% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
16%
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.