Thursday , 2 July 2026

Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Carlos Macedo
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–1 W
07 Feb FC Arouca A 2–3 L
30 Jan Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
24 Jan GD Estoril Praia A 2–4 L
18 Jan FC Porto H 0–1 L
02 Jan CD Nacional H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Vitória SC A 1–2 L
07 Feb CD Santa Clara H 1–0 W
31 Jan FC Alverca A 1–1 D
25 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
19 Jan GD Estoril Praia H 0–5 L
03 Jan Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Vitória SC CF Estrela da Amadora
#9 Position #15
42 Points 30
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
39 Scored 38
51 Conceded 56
-12 GD -18
1.24 PPG 0.88
35% Win % 18%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Vitória SC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC58% Draw24% CF Estrela da Amadora18%
Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
82%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
42%
Vitória SC or CF Estrela da Amadora
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Vitória SC40% Draw45% CF Estrela da Amadora15%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
39%
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.