CD Nacional vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- Vitória SC 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Porto 34 88 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82 3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80 4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59 5 FC Famalicão 34 56 6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50 7 Moreirense FC 34 43 8 FC Arouca 34 42 9 Vitória SC 34 42 10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39 11 FC Alverca 34 39 12 Rio Ave FC 34 36 13 CD Santa Clara 34 36 14 CD Nacional 34 34 15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30 16 Casa Pia AC 34 30 17 CD Tondela 34 28 18 AVS 34 21 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 16 May Vitória SC H 2–0 W 11 May CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L 02 May AVS H 1–2 L 25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W 18 Apr FC Alverca H 1–0 W 12 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 16 May CD Nacional A 0–2 L 11 May Casa Pia AC H 0–1 L 04 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–5 L 25 Apr Rio Ave FC H 2–0 W 18 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W 11 Apr AVS A 1–1 D Season Stats
CD Nacional Vitória SC #14 Position #9 34 Points 42 34 Played 34 9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16 37 Scored 39 45 Conceded 51 -8 GD -12 1.00 PPG 1.24 26% Win % 35% Key Stats
63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this seasonCD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional0-152/216-301/131-45–/146-60–/–61-753/176+1/1■ Scored ■ ConcededVitória SC0-151/116-302/231-45–/146-602/–61-753/376+1/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and Vitória SC has kicked off!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francisco Dias made 394 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Vitória SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 14' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 19' Vitória SC is showing some good football. However, Vitória SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Gomes.
- 30' CD Nacional started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Filipe Soares on 32.
- 33' It’s gonna be a card for Witi.
- 38' It looks surprising CD Nacional does not make any changes. Chuchu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Vitória SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 53' Vitória SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 54' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Matheus Dias gets a card.
- 59' Leo Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 69' Chuchu puts CD Nacional on the lead.
- 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Vitória SC winning 50% of all matches.
- 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vitória SC that had 394 games and scored 369 goals.
- 84' It’s high time Joao Costa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 85' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 86' What a strike from Chuchu! The score is 2-0.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Vitória SC.
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Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
- 22
- 7
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 6
- 16
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 2
- 18
- 27
- 10
- 33
- 30
- 50
- 99
Coach Tiago MargaridoVitória SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 27
- 18
- 26
- 2
- 30
- 11
- 28
- 19
- 80
- 82
Bench
- 13
- 66
- 4
- 88
- 48
- 25
- 50
- 33
- 46
Coach Joao Costa -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Tiago Silva 2 Chuchu 2 Ricardo Quaresma 1 Fuki Yamada 1 Oscar Estupinan 1 Lucas Kal 1 Kenji Gorre 1 Pedro Mendes 1 Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.57 CD Nacional xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.99 Vitória SC xGI would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.56Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 72% 28% ± 2.5 47% 53% ± 3.5 26% 74% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw 77%Draw or Vitória SC 50%CD Nacional or Vitória SC 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.9%1 – 0 11.2%0 – 0 9.8%2 – 0 Actual2 – 1 9.1%0 – 1 6.6%1 – 2 5.7%3 – 1 4.8%3 – 0 4.8%2 – 2 4.6%0 – 2 3.7%3 – 2 2.5%Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Vitória SC covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 15% 74% -1.5 26% — 74% -1 26% 23% 51% -0.5 49% — 51% +0.5 78% — 22% +1 78% 14% 8% +1.5 92% — 8% +2 92% 6% 2% +2.5 98% — 2% Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet 38% ✗Vitória SC keeps clean sheet 22% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

