CD Nacional vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Vitória SC 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicão | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Marítimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Vitória SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | AVS | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–5 | L |
| 25 Apr | Rio Ave FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Vitória SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #14 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 6 |
| 11 | Scored | 11 |
| 19 | Conceded | 12 |
| -8 | GD | -1 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 0.82 |
| 27% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
36%
Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
Vitória SC this season
CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). Vitória SC are 14th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
Vitória SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio da Madeira!
- 5' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Vitória SC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 274 games and scored 115 goals.
- 14' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ricardo Rocha.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Vitória SC winning 100% of all matches.
- 24' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Vitória SC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' It’s gonna be a card for Jose Gomes.
- 30' The travelling Vitória SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 32' A moment of madness from Filipe Soares on 32 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
- 33' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Witi gets a card.
- 38' Tunisia international Chiheb Labidi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ze Vitor made 161 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 53' Alan Nunez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vitória SC so far.
- 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheus Dias.
- 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Chuchu gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Joao Costa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 79' CD Nacional is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jose Gomes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Vitória SC.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Zeega. He receives a card.
- 86' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Chuchu makes no mistake. 2-0!
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
- 22
- 7
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 6
- 16
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 2
- 18
- 27
- 10
- 33
- 30
- 50
- 99
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Vitória SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 27
- 18
- 26
- 2
- 30
- 11
- 28
- 19
- 80
- 82
Bench
- 13
- 66
- 4
- 88
- 48
- 25
- 50
- 33
- 46
Coach
Joao Costa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
| Nuno Santos | 1 |
| Toze | 1 |
| Joao Aurelio | 1 |
| Florent Hanin | 1 |
| Isaac Aguiar | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Vitória SC xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
73%
Draw or Vitória SC
55%
CD Nacional or Vitória SC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Vitória SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

