CD Nacional vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- FC Porto 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tiago Martins
- Assistant 1 Hugo Ribeiro (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Jose Mira (Portugal)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | CD Santa Clara | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | CS Marítimo | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | Moreirense FC | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Académico de Viseu FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Famalicão | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | GD Estoril Praia | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Alverca | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória SC | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Dec | Boavista FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Moreirense FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | FC Midtjylland | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | FC Famalicão | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #1 |
| 1 | Points | 6 |
| 1 | Played | 2 |
| 0 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 0 |
| 2 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 0% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
CD Nacional are 14th (1 pts). FC Porto are 1st (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CD Nacional and FC Porto has kicked off!
- 5' FC Porto receives a card for a hard tackle on 5.
- 10' The travelling FC Porto supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Vasco Sousa is replacing Alan Varela for the FC Porto side.
- 17' Against the run of play, Dudu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 22' Andre Franco needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and FC Porto are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joao Mario Lopes made 491 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 43' A tactical swap from FC Porto — Joao Mario Lopes on, Martim Fernandes off on 43 minutes.
- 44' GOAL! Ze Vitor fires home to make it 2-0!
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Garcia on 45 minutes.
- 46' Another change for FC Porto made on 46 minute. Andre Franco leaves to be changed by Fabio Vieira.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for El Hadji Soumare.
- 61' Gustavo Garcia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 62' FC Porto make a change. Rodrigo Mora trudges off to be replaced by Deniz Gul on 62 minutes.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rodrigo Mora suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Dyego Sousa on, Dudu off on 70 minutes.
- 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 78' A moment of madness from Otavio Ataide on 78 minutes earns him a card. FC Porto will be frustrated.
- 81' Fabio Vieira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
- 82' Goncalo Borges has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
- 83' It is a substitution in CD Nacional team. Bruno Costa is replaced by Daniel Penha on 83 minute.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Nehuen Perez argues furiously but the card stands.
- 89' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 89.
- 90' Andre Sousa gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Luis Esteves and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CD Nacional to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Dyego Sousa 70'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Daniel Penha 83'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Andre Sousa 90'
- 22
- 38
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Leo Santos 90'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Joao Aurelio 70'
- 27
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
- 70
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 70'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 90'
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 70'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 83'
- 1
- 33
- 15
Coach
Tiago Margarido
FC Porto Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Pepe ↓ Daniel Namaso 43'
- 13
- 6
- 24
- 99
- 4
-
22
Alan Varela ↓ Vasco Sousa 15'
-
20
Andre Franco ↓ Fabio Vieira 46'
- 9
- 52
-
86
Rodrigo Mora ↓ Deniz Gul 62'
Bench
-
19
Daniel Namaso ↑ 43'
- 17
- 14
- 3
- 12
-
10
Fabio Vieira ↑ 46'
-
23
Joao Mario Lopes ↑ 43'
- 70
- 97
-
15
Vasco Sousa ↑ 15'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 62'
- 88
Coach
Vitor Bruno
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Moussa Marega | 2 |
| Yacine Brahimi | 2 |
| Bryan Rochez | 1 |
| Rodrigo Mora | 1 |
| Jesus Manuel Corona | 1 |
| Alex Telles | 1 |
| Oliver Torres | 1 |
| Sergio Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.49
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 66% + FC Porto to win 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
38%
Draw or FC Porto
84%
CD Nacional or FC Porto
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–0 not predicted2 – 0Actual
0 – 2
16.3%
0 – 1
15.4%
0 – 3
11.2%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 4
5.9%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 4
3.1%
1 – 0
2.9%
0 – 5
2.6%
2 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -0.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| +0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +1 | 26% | 25% | 50% |
| +1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +2 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| +2.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
62%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

