CD Nacional vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- FC Porto 7 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tiago Martins
- Assistant 1 Hugo Ribeiro (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Jose Mira (Portugal)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Marítimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Dec | Boavista FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Moreirense FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | FC Midtjylland | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | FC Famalicão | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #1 |
| 4 | Points | 21 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 0 |
| 7 | Scored | 18 |
| 15 | Conceded | 3 |
| -8 | GD | +15 |
| 0.57 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 14% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
57%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). FC Porto are 1st (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
FC Porto
| Gabriel Veiga | 4 G | 3 A |
| Andre Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Borja Sainz | 3 G | |
| William da Silva | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nehuen Perez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio da Madeira as CD Nacional face off against FC Porto in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' That is a card for FC Porto. Rodrigo Mora will be fuming at that decision.
- 10' FC Porto have won 706 goals from 495 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' A change in the FC Porto ranks — Alan Varela exits the field as Vasco Sousa enters on 15.
- 17' Against the run of play, Dudu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 22' Brazil international Lucas Franca has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 27' Rodrigo Mora is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Porto so far.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Deniz Gul made 2 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and FC Porto are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 42' Matheus Dias has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 43' It is a substitution in FC Porto team. Martim Fernandes is replaced by Joao Mario Lopes on 43 minute.
- 44' Ze Vitor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Garcia on 45 minutes.
- 46' Fabio Vieira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Franco at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' FC Porto are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' It’s gonna be a card for El Hadji Soumare.
- 61' FC Porto seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 62' The whistle greets Rodrigo Mora as he departs to be replaced by Deniz Gul.
- 67' Joao Mario Lopes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 70' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Dudu departs to be replaced by Dyego Sousa.
- 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Otavio Ataide.
- 81' The referee shows FC Porto player a card on 81.
- 82' It’s a booking for FC Porto player. Goncalo Borges gets a card.
- 83' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Bruno Costa exits the field as Daniel Penha enters on 83.
- 88' That is a card for FC Porto. Nehuen Perez will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' Jose Gomes was booked on 89.
- 90' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Andre Sousa on, Luis Esteves off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Dyego Sousa 70'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Daniel Penha 83'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Andre Sousa 90'
- 22
- 38
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Leo Santos 90'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Joao Aurelio 70'
- 27
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
- 70
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 70'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 90'
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 70'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 83'
- 1
- 33
- 15
Coach
Tiago Margarido
FC Porto Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Pepe ↓ Daniel Namaso 43'
- 13
- 6
- 24
- 99
- 4
-
22
Alan Varela ↓ Vasco Sousa 15'
-
20
Andre Franco ↓ Fabio Vieira 46'
- 9
- 52
-
86
Rodrigo Mora ↓ Deniz Gul 62'
Bench
-
19
Daniel Namaso ↑ 43'
- 17
- 14
- 3
- 12
-
10
Fabio Vieira ↑ 46'
-
23
Joao Mario Lopes ↑ 43'
- 70
- 97
-
15
Vasco Sousa ↑ 15'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 62'
- 88
Coach
Vítor Bruno
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Moussa Marega | 2 |
| Yacine Brahimi | 2 |
| Jesus Manuel Corona | 1 |
| Alex Telles | 1 |
| Oliver Torres | 1 |
| Sergio Oliveira | 1 |
| Mehdi Taremi | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.67
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
36%
Draw or FC Porto
84%
CD Nacional or FC Porto
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–0 not predicted2 – 0Actual
0 – 2
12.9%
0 – 3
10.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 3
7.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
0 – 4
7.1%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 4
4.8%
0 – 5
3.7%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 5
2.6%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -0.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| +0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| +1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +2 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| +2.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
8%
✗
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
52%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.