Friday , 7 August 2026

FC Porto vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
3 0
Full Time
Sat 17 May 2025 · 17:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao 34,674 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moura 1' 1–0
Samu Omorodion pen 69' 2–0
Rodrigo Mora 83' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs CD NacionalPrimeira Liga at Estadio Do Dragao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CD Nacional H 3–0 W
11 May Boavista FC A 2–1 W
02 May Moreirense FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–2 L
18 Apr FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
12 Apr Casa Pia AC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FC Porto A 0–3 L
10 May Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D
03 May Vitória SC H 1–2 L
27 Apr Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
19 Apr Gil Vicente FC H 0–3 L
12 Apr Boavista FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Porto CD Nacional
#1 Position #14
85 Points 31
33 Played 33
27 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 18
64 Scored 35
17 Conceded 45
+47 GD -10
2.58 PPG 0.94
82% Win % 24%

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Porto are 1st (85 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (31 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio Do Dragao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 1' Moura makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Porto are in front.
  • 6' With 0 assists to his name this season, Paulinho Boia is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CD Nacional.
  • 11' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Porto and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 13' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Dias on 13.
  • 18' Alan Varela has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ze Vitor on 26.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 36' It’s high time Tiago Margarido made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' FC Porto have won 697 goals from 491 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' Controversy at the stadium! Fabio Vieira argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Paulinho Boia is booked for CD Nacional — card on 45.
  • 46' A tactical swap from CD NacionalLuis Esteves on, Andre Sousa off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Ze Vitor, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 56' FC Porto started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Pepe as he leaves the pitch. Tomas Perez steps in for FC Porto.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Porto needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Ze Vitor.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Samu Omorodion gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Joao Mario Lopes departs to be replaced by Goncalo Borges.
  • 79' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' That is a card for CD Nacional. Leo Santos will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' Rodrigo Mora makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and FC Porto are in front.
  • 85' FC Porto make a change. Alan Varela trudges off to be replaced by Andre Franco on 85 minutes.
  • 88' The referee has no hesitation. Francisco Goncalves is booked for CD Nacional — card on 88.
  • 90' Gustavo Garcia was booked on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Porto take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.45 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto74% Draw18% CD Nacional8%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
92%
Draw or CD Nacional
26%
FC Porto or CD Nacional
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto55% Draw40% CD Nacional5%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16.7%
1 – 0
14.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
4 – 1
3.3%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 23% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 24% 22%
-0.5 78% 22%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
64%
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.