FC Porto vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Do Dragao.
- FC Porto 33 games · 85 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 33 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 33 | 85 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 32 | 80 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 33 | 77 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 33 | 47 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 33 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 33 | 42 |
| 9 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 10 | Vitória SC | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 33 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 33 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 33 | 33 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 33 | 31 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 33 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 32 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 32 | 27 |
| 18 | AVS | 33 | 20 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | CD Nacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | Boavista FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | Moreirense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FC Porto | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 03 May | Vitória SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #14 |
| 85 | Points | 31 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 27 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 8 / 7 / 18 |
| 64 | Scored | 35 |
| 17 | Conceded | 45 |
| +47 | GD | -10 |
| 2.58 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 82% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Porto are 1st (85 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (31 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio Do Dragao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 1' Moura makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Porto are in front.
- 6' With 0 assists to his name this season, Paulinho Boia is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CD Nacional.
- 11' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Porto and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 13' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Dias on 13.
- 18' Alan Varela has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ze Vitor on 26.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' It’s high time Tiago Margarido made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 41' FC Porto have won 697 goals from 491 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 43' Controversy at the stadium! Fabio Vieira argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Paulinho Boia is booked for CD Nacional — card on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Luis Esteves on, Andre Sousa off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Ze Vitor, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' FC Porto started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 59' The crowd applauds Pepe as he leaves the pitch. Tomas Perez steps in for FC Porto.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Porto needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 66' It’s gonna be a card for Ze Vitor.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Samu Omorodion gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 74' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Joao Mario Lopes departs to be replaced by Goncalo Borges.
- 79' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' That is a card for CD Nacional. Leo Santos will be fuming at that decision.
- 83' Rodrigo Mora makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and FC Porto are in front.
- 85' FC Porto make a change. Alan Varela trudges off to be replaced by Andre Franco on 85 minutes.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Francisco Goncalves is booked for CD Nacional — card on 88.
- 90' Gustavo Garcia was booked on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Porto take all three points.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
11
Pepe ↓ Tomas Perez 59'
- 5
- 99
-
10
Fabio Vieira ↓ William da Silva 74'
- 23
- 74
-
22
Alan Varela ↓ Andre Franco 85'
- 97
- 9
- 52
-
86
Rodrigo Mora ↓ Daniel Namaso 85'
Bench
-
19
Daniel Namaso ↑ 85'
- 14
- 4
-
7
William da Silva ↑ 74'
-
20
Andre Franco ↑ 85'
-
70
Goncalo Borges ↑ 74'
-
25
Tomas Perez ↑ 59'
- 27
- 68
Coach
Martin Anselmi
CD Nacional Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 34
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↓ Gustavo Garcia 46'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↓ Luis Esteves 46'
- 95
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Dudu 74'
- 1
- 98
- 38
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Jota Garces 74'
- 27
- 5
Bench
-
99
Dudu ↑ 74'
- 70
- 17
-
10
Luis Esteves ↑ 46'
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↑ 46'
- 12
-
33
Francisco Goncalves ↑ 74'
- 15
-
20
Jota Garces ↑ 74'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Moussa Marega | 2 |
| Yacine Brahimi | 2 |
| Jesus Manuel Corona | 1 |
| Alex Telles | 1 |
| Oliver Torres | 1 |
| Sergio Oliveira | 1 |
| Mehdi Taremi | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.45
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto to win 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
92%
Draw or CD Nacional
26%
FC Porto or CD Nacional
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16.7%
1 – 0
14.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
4 – 1
3.3%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 23% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
64%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

