Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
FC Porto
3 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Sat 17 May 2025 · 17:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao 34,674 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moura 1' 1–0
Samu Omorodion pen 69' 2–0
Rodrigo Mora 83' 3–0
Y 13' Matheus Dias
Y 26' Ze Vitor
Fabio Vieira 43' Y
Y 45' Paulinho Boia
YR 66' Ze Vitor
Y 80' Leo Santos
Y 88' Francisco Goncalves
Y 90' Gustavo Garcia

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Do Dragao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

7
1
FC Porto 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-17 FC Porto 3–0 CD Nacional 2025-01-12 CD Nacional 2–0 FC Porto 2021-04-18 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Porto 2020-12-20 FC Porto 2–0 CD Nacional 2019-05-12 CD Nacional 0–4 FC Porto

Recent Form

FC Porto
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May CD Nacional H 3–0 W
11 May Boavista FC A 2–1 W
02 May Moreirense FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–2 L
18 Apr FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
12 Apr Casa Pia AC A 1–0 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FC Porto A 0–3 L
10 May Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D
03 May Vitória SC H 1–2 L
27 Apr Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
19 Apr Gil Vicente FC H 0–3 L
12 Apr Boavista FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Porto CD Nacional
#1 Position #14
88 Points 34
34 Played 34
28 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
66 Scored 37
18 Conceded 45
+48 GD -8
2.59 PPG 1.00
82% Win % 26%

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Porto are 1st (88 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC Porto have kicked off against CD Nacional. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 1' Moura has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 1 minutes.
  • 6' CD Nacional have won 106 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 11' FC Porto are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
  • 13' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Matheus Dias gets a card.
  • 18' FC Porto has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 23' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Porto and CD Nacional are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 26' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Porto and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' CD Nacional seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 43' FC Porto receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 45' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Paulinho Boia gets a card.
  • 46' Another change for CD Nacional made on 46 minute. Andre Sousa leaves to be changed by Luis Esteves.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Porto side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Porto is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' Tomas Perez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pepe on 59 minute.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Ze Vitor. He receives a card.
  • 69' Goal! Samu Omorodion scores his 36 goal in 251 matches.
  • 74' Goncalo Borges has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Mario Lopes on 74 minute.
  • 79' FC Porto currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 83' A stunning finish from Rodrigo Mora — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 85' A change in the FC Porto ranks — Alan Varela exits the field as Andre Franco enters on 85.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Francisco Goncalves.
  • 90' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
  • Full Time. FC Porto beats CD Nacional

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Anselmi

CD Nacional Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Moussa Marega 2
Yacine Brahimi 2
Alex Telles 1
Oliver Torres 1
Sergio Oliveira 1
Mehdi Taremi 1
Dudu 1
Ze Vitor 1

Head to Head

2025-05-17 FC Porto 3–0 CD Nacional 2025-01-12 CD Nacional 2–0 FC Porto 2021-04-18 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Porto 2020-12-20 FC Porto 2–0 CD Nacional 2019-05-12 CD Nacional 0–4 FC Porto

FC Porto Form

2025-05-17 FC Porto 3–0 CD Nacional W 2025-05-11 Boavista FC 1–2 FC Porto W 2025-05-02 FC Porto 3–1 Moreirense FC W 2025-04-26 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–0 FC Porto L 2025-04-18 FC Porto 2–1 FC Famalicão W 2025-04-12 Casa Pia AC 0–1 FC Porto W

CD Nacional Form

2025-05-17 FC Porto 3–0 CD Nacional L 2025-05-10 CD Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave FC D 2025-05-03 CD Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC L 2025-04-27 Moreirense FC 1–1 CD Nacional D 2025-04-19 CD Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente FC L 2025-04-12 Boavista FC 0–1 CD Nacional W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.46 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto74% Draw18% CD Nacional8%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
92%
Draw or CD Nacional
26%
FC Porto or CD Nacional
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto54% Draw40% CD Nacional6%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16.6%
1 – 0
15%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
5.7%
4 – 1
3.3%
5 – 0
3%
0 – 1
2.5%
2 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 23% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 24% 23%
-0.5 77% — 23%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
63% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.