FC Porto vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Do Dragao.
- FC Porto 11 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicão | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Marítimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | CD Nacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | Boavista FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | Moreirense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FC Porto | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 03 May | Vitória SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 11 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 27 | Scored | 11 |
| 5 | Conceded | 19 |
| +22 | GD | -8 |
| 3.00 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 100% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
55%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
FC Porto are 1st (33 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Porto
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
7/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
6/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Porto
| Borja Sainz | 6 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Veiga | 5 G | 4 A |
| Andre Silva | 4 G | 2 A |
| Victor Froholdt | 3 G | |
| William da Silva | 2 G | 2 A |
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Porto to score. At the same time, CD Nacional does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 1' Assisted by Martim Fernandes with the perfectly-timed delivery and Moura makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 6' FC Porto are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
- 11' CD Nacional seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 13' That looks like a foul for a card for Matheus Dias.
- 18' Gustavo Garcia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CD Nacional so far.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Porto and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 26' Ze Vitor is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
- 31' CD Nacional fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Porto and CD Nacional are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 43' Fabio Vieira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Paulinho Boia is booked for CD Nacional — card on 45.
- 46' Luis Esteves is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Sousa at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Porto and CD Nacional are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' Paulinho Boia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 59' Another change for FC Porto made on 59 minute. Pepe leaves to be changed by Tomas Perez.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Porto needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 66' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 66.
- 69' Samu Omorodion doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 74' Goncalo Borges has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Mario Lopes on 74 minute.
- 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Santos on 80.
- 83' Brilliant from the midfielder! Rodrigo Mora makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 83.
- 85' Andre Franco has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alan Varela on 85 minute.
- 88' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Francisco Goncalves gets a card.
- 90' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Porto take all three points.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
11
Pepe ↓ Tomas Perez 59'
- 5
- 99
-
10
Fabio Vieira ↓ William da Silva 74'
- 23
- 74
-
22
Alan Varela ↓ Andre Franco 85'
- 97
- 9
- 52
-
86
Rodrigo Mora ↓ Daniel Namaso 85'
Bench
-
19
Daniel Namaso ↑ 85'
- 14
- 4
-
7
William da Silva ↑ 74'
-
20
Andre Franco ↑ 85'
-
70
Goncalo Borges ↑ 74'
-
25
Tomas Perez ↑ 59'
- 27
- 68
Coach
Martin Anselmi
CD Nacional Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 34
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↓ Gustavo Garcia 46'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↓ Luis Esteves 46'
- 95
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Dudu 74'
- 1
- 98
- 38
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Jota Garces 74'
- 27
- 5
Bench
-
99
Dudu ↑ 74'
- 70
- 17
-
10
Luis Esteves ↑ 46'
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↑ 46'
- 12
-
33
Francisco Goncalves ↑ 74'
- 15
-
20
Jota Garces ↑ 74'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Moussa Marega | 2 |
| Yacine Brahimi | 2 |
| Oliver Torres | 1 |
| Sergio Oliveira | 1 |
| Mehdi Taremi | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 1 |
| Moura | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.97
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto to win 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
94%
Draw or CD Nacional
19%
FC Porto or CD Nacional
87%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.1%
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
5 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 1
4.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
6 – 0
3.2%
5 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -2 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| -1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| -1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| -0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +0.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +1 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
| +2 | 100% | — | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
66%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.