Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Porto vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep CD Nacional H 1–0 W
30 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–1 W
24 Aug Casa Pia AC H 4–0 W
18 Aug Gil Vicente FC A 2–0 W
11 Aug Vitória SC H 3–0 W
24 Jun Al Ahly SC H 4–4 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep FC Porto A 0–1 L
30 Aug Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
17 Aug Rio Ave FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Gil Vicente FC H 0–2 L
17 May FC Porto A 0–3 L

Season Stats

FC Porto CD Nacional
#1 Position #13
33 Points 10
11 Played 11
11 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 7
27 Scored 11
5 Conceded 19
+22 GD -8
3.00 PPG 0.91
100% Win % 27%

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

FC Porto are 1st (33 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
7/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
6/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Porto
Borja Sainz 6 G 1 A
Gabriel Veiga 5 G 4 A
Andre Silva 4 G 2 A
Victor Froholdt 3 G
William da Silva 2 G 2 A
CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.73 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto78% Draw15% CD Nacional7%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
93%
Draw or CD Nacional
22%
FC Porto or CD Nacional
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto62% Draw34% CD Nacional4%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15%
3 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
9%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 1
6.4%
1 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
5 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 1
2.5%
6 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 41% — 59%
-2 41% 23% 37%
-1.5 63% — 37%
-1 63% 20% 17%
-0.5 83% — 17%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
62% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.