CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 29 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 30 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 29 | 50 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 29 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba FBC | 29 | 38 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 37 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo FR | 29 | 35 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 28 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Aug | Santos FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Aug | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 50 | Points | 51 |
| 29 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 48 |
| 34 | Conceded | 37 |
| +11 | GD | +11 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.70 |
| 48% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
34%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
CA Paranaense are 4th (50 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
6/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 19 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 5 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 6 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 5 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia will turn into a battlefield for CA Paranaense and Fluminense FC.
- 5' Argentina international Luciano Acosta has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Paranaense that had 383 games and scored 390 goals.
- 20' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Julian Millan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Odair Hellmann might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' Goal! Joao Victor scores his 3 goal in 383 matches.
- 38' GOAL! Hulk fires home to make it 1-1!
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Ganso is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 45.
- 48' What a moment for Gaston Benavidez! That strike on 48 puts his side firmly in control.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Gaston Benavidez. He receives a card.
- 50' CA Paranaense receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 55' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 59' Luciano Acosta is replacing Ganso for the Fluminense FC side.
- 60' Kevin Serna gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Yeferson Soteldo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Agustin Canobbio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Agustin Canobbio makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 65.
- 70' The 29-year-old Jefferson Savarino has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 71' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kerwin Vargas is hanging Joao Victor on the field on 71 minute.
- 75' A moment of madness from Nonato on 75 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 78' What a moment for Martinelli! That strike on 78 puts his side firmly in control.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Kevin Viveros. He receives a card.
- 83' Bruno Zapelli gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Luiz Gustavo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' A goal from the Colombia international Kerwin Vargas! He fires home on 87 to make it 3-4!
- 90' The crowd applauds Agustin Canobbio as he leaves the pitch. Jefferson Savarino steps in for Fluminense FC.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 7
-
14
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Bruno Zapelli 83'
- 29
-
33
Juan Aguirre ↓ Jorge Rivaldo 83'
-
8
Joao Victor ↓ Kerwin Vargas 71'
- 4
- 9
- 21
- 25
Bench
- 3
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 83'
- 22
-
18
Kerwin Vargas ↑ 71'
- 1
- 11
-
53
Dudu ↑ 71'
- 5
- 63
- 2
- 70
-
19
Jorge Rivaldo ↑ 83'
Coach
Odair Hellmann
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↓ Luciano Acosta 59'
- 16
- 4
-
30
Yeferson Soteldo ↓ Kevin Serna 60'
- 7
- 8
- 17
- 29
Bench
- 3
- 94
- 13
-
11
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 90'
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↑ 59'
- 27
- 14
- 19
- 46
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 60'
-
44
Jemmes ↑ 90'
- 28
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nino | 2 |
| Marcos Paulo | 2 |
| Vinicius Lima | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Madson | 2 |
| Luciano | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Fluminense FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
66%
Draw or Fluminense FC
59%
CA Paranaense or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

