CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | Goiás EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | Cuiaba EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Club Bolivar | H | 6–5 | W |
| 05 Aug | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Aug | Club Bolivar | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Olimpia Asuncion | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | America FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Aug | AA Argentinos Juniors | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 49 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 14 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 44 |
| 32 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +8 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 50% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Paranaense host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Vitor Roque.
- 10' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Lima.
- 13' CA Paranaense is taking the lead after the goal scored by Caca on 13.
- 18' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Vinicius Kaue on 21.
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 28' The supporters are chanting for Alexsander Gomes. He replaces Thiago Santos on 28 minute.
- 33' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Marlon on 33 minutes.
- 34' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Ze Ivaldo comes on to replace Vitor Bueno.
- 37' Arturo Vidal picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arturo Vidal on 38.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Agustin Canobbio. He receives a Yellow card.
- 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomas Cuello made 167 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Yony Gonzalez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Agustin Canobbio suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 64' Isaac is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Braz at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Alex Santana comes on to replace Arturo Vidal.
- 74' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 76' The Brazil Guga breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-1!
- 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 86' Vitor Bueno, a Brazil , has 11 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 89' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Felipe on, Leonardo Fernandez off on 89 minutes.
- 90' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Pablo Felipe comes on to replace Guga.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 22
- 44
-
23
Arturo Vidal ↓ Alex Santana 69'
- 28
- 26
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Ze Ivaldo 34'
- 21
- 24
- 14
- 9
Bench
- 92
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 69'
- 4
- 17
- 10
-
3
Ze Ivaldo ↑ 34'
- 32
- 19
- 7
- 35
- 42
- 41
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Isaac 64'
- 29
- 23
- 4
- 38
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↓ Felipe 89'
- 22
- 45
- 20
- 8
- 99
Bench
- 98
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 28'
- 37
-
32
Isaac ↑ 64'
- 41
-
13
Felipe ↑ 89'
- 28
- 53
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nino | 2 |
| Marcos Paulo | 2 |
| Vinicius Lima | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Madson | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Fluminense FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
68%
Draw or Fluminense FC
58%
CA Paranaense or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

