CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | Goiás EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | Cuiabá EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Club Bolivar | H | 6–5 | W |
| 05 Aug | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Aug | Club Bolivar | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Olimpia Asuncion | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | América FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Aug | AA Argentinos Juniors | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 54 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 51 | Scored | 55 |
| 43 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 44% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Arena da Baixada that hosts another battle between CA Paranaense and Fluminense FC.
- 5' That is a Yellow card for CA Paranaense. Vitor Roque will be fuming at that decision.
- 10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lima.
- 13' Caca makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and CA Paranaense are in front.
- 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 21' That is a Red card for CA Paranaense. Vinicius Kaue will be fuming at that decision.
- 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 28' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Thiago Santos has done his job and it is now time for Alexsander Gomes to step up.
- 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Marlon.
- 34' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Ze Ivaldo on, Vitor Bueno off on 34 minutes.
- 37' Arturo Vidal was booked on 37.
- 38' The referee has no hesitation. Arturo Vidal is booked for CA Paranaense — Yellow card on 38.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Agustin Canobbio.
- 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Wesley Carvalho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Yony Gonzalez is booked for Fluminense FC — Yellow card on 50.
- 55' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hulk scoring 1 goals.
- 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. David Braz is replaced by Isaac.
- 69' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 69 minute. Arturo Vidal leaves to be changed by Alex Santana.
- 74' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' GOAL! Guga scores on 76. Assisted by Yony Gonzalez
- 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 86' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Erick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 89' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Leonardo Fernandez departs to be replaced by Felipe.
- 90' Pablo Felipe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guga on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 22
- 44
-
23
Arturo Vidal ↓ Alex Santana 69'
- 28
- 26
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Ze Ivaldo 34'
- 21
- 24
- 14
- 9
Bench
- 92
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 69'
- 4
- 17
- 10
-
3
Ze Ivaldo ↑ 34'
- 32
- 19
- 7
- 35
- 42
- 41
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Isaac 64'
- 29
- 23
- 4
- 38
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↓ Felipe 89'
- 22
- 45
- 20
- 8
- 99
Bench
- 98
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 28'
- 37
-
32
Isaac ↑ 64'
- 41
-
13
Felipe ↑ 89'
- 28
- 53
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Madson | 2 |
| Nino | 2 |
| Marcos Paulo | 2 |
| Vinicius Lima | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Ivaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Fluminense FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
66%
Draw or Fluminense FC
60%
CA Paranaense or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

